TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Phantomof paiN, Phantom
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Phantom69c17,271$11,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,334.1863157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom35c6,841$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,429.145,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Phantom35c5,655$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,656.1238841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN27c5,470$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.772,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Phantom56c4,866$2,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148.232,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed paiN66c4,632$3,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044.2517162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8eb…9d25backed Phantom32c4,044$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.862733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Phantom49c3,955$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.393,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked paiN67c3,918$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.1236453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed paiN67c3,619$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.361948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed paiN56c3,575$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Phantom53c3,051$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.254,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed paiN60c3,000$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81045058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked paiN55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65075056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed paiN44c2,932$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.935240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom45c2,889$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.867,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Phantom54c2,713$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.562,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed paiN64c2,633$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.985662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked paiN64c2,100$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3498047.5%38 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked paiN23c2,051$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.4238032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom54c2,049$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.466,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Phantom36c1,922$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.8146555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Phantom32c1,764$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.141,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed paiN62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00055043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed paiN64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Phantom34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9901,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Phantom36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.8859755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked paiN19c1,351$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.763,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Phantom38c1,250$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.9915838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Phantom36c1,245$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.932,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed paiN68c1,161$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.1697040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed paiN69c1,161$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.5115962.9%100 W · 59 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed paiN52c1,161$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.4324551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Phantom36c1,143$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.422,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed paiN71c1,068$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.027374%54 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9187…b2e1backed paiN77c1,020$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.682458.3%14 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick73cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed paiN6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b59…dd43backed paiN17c1,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.581526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed paiN51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5104934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Phantom31c999.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.995,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed paiN54c999.98$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.4952150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed paiN65c974.39$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.2780942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed paiN55c971.51$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.9955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked paiN46c956.11$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.8113760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed paiN64c937.5$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked paiN64c935.16$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.513742.3%58 W · 79 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Phantom49c932.54$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.615052.7%79 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed paiN77c926.54$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.2816038.1%61 W · 99 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN64c915.48$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.652,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked paiN64c904.27$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.7311844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Phantom58c894.83$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.531,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde57…666fbacked paiN67c864$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.885133.3%17 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed paiN15c862.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.127831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked paiN15c808.92$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7126546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed paiN62c806$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7255845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Phantom26c800$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.252,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed paiN33c793.96$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3261034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed paiN64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed paiN64c772.63$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.021,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Phantom36c772.03$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.114853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20c…f4c7backed Phantom53c771.62$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.559960.6%60 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Phantom54c760.63$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.1738454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Phantom59c750$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.540542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Phantom26c749.65$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.8413142%55 W · 76 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Phantom41c732.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.9552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Phantom33c718.26$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.2484958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Phantom33c716.4$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.611,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe2b…20e4backed paiN10c707$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.279635.4%34 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Phantom71c656.21$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.881,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Phantom37c654.45$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.4675438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Phantom36c639.77$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.251,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Phantom31c620.86$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.3642154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked paiN7c620.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.411323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-67.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed paiN65c601.25$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.8123757%135 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed paiN65c600.68$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.4416254.3%88 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc970…b6e9backed paiN10c587.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked paiN59c563.28$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33019546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked paiN65c541.6$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.3344747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Phantom67c539.14$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.214,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked paiN5c529.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.357536%27 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Phantom33c526.39$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.3420045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Phantom32c515.63$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.6347054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1571…1a1cbacked paiN68c514.71$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed Phantom34c514.71$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.7114447.9%69 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed paiN28c509.08$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.72,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed paiN34c505.71$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5827037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed paiN64c503$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9214545.5%66 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed paiN64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed paiN32c496.44$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1714735.4%52 W · 95 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c77…e7a7backed paiN46c491.24$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3080…fc8abacked Phantom31c479.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+219.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked paiN65c469.32$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.0648948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed paiN56c464.29$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605048%24 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked paiN65c452.15$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.948845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked paiN46c447.79$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.462,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked paiN65c444$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.4275833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed paiN68c441.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed paiN38c440.52$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8127647.1%130 W · 146 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed paiN18c436.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.291,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Phantom43c424.11$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.481,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.