CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf98fb06758808cd11f5016cf46a3cd901b5070b2811482a61522fe122589046d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked ALKA | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…218ebacked Imperial | 65c | 7,041$4,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.39 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked ALKA | 44c | 5,626$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.07 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 65c | 5,601$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.46 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Imperial | 64c | 5,004$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.55 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed ALKA | 43c | 1,555$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.65 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Imperial | 57c | 1,275$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.14 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…efabbacked Imperial | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Imperial | 65c | 999.98$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.99 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5515…6236backed Imperial | 56c | 880.66$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Imperial | 57c | 818.84$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.26 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Imperial | 68c | 799.98$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.99 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Imperial | 65c | 781.25$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.44 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Imperial | 65c | 781.23$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.43 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Imperial | 66c | 763.88$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.86 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ALKA | 34c | 723.94$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.14 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Imperial | 56c | 650$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Imperial | 65c | 626.79$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed ALKA | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed ALKA | 33c | 510.12$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Imperial | 64c | 470.52$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Imperial | 56c | 464.29$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.29 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Imperial | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked ALKA | 32c | 423$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ALKA | 36c | 399.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed ALKA | 37c | 361.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Imperial | 65c | 349.47$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked ALKA | 36c | 330.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked ALKA | 32c | 325$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ALKA | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked ALKA | 35c | 282.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8dbebacked Imperial | 61c | 278.69$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed ALKA | 33c | 268.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed ALKA | 34c | 264.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Imperial | 57c | 254$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…2d0fbacked Imperial | 56c | 242.21$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked ALKA | 34c | 223.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Imperial | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…6211backed Imperial | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed ALKA | 32c | 151$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ALKA | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed ALKA | 35c | 131$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed ALKA | 36c | 122.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed ALKA | 35c | 109.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked ALKA | 33c | 104$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Imperial | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed ALKA | 35c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…661cbacked Imperial | 57c | 89.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ALKA | 43c | 83.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked ALKA | 35c | 83.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked ALKA | 32c | 82.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…9d25backed ALKA | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed ALKA | 33c | 81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0f86backed Imperial | 58c | 67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed ALKA | 34c | 47.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Imperial | 65c | 45.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Imperial | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed ALKA | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.