CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb57ea783d579826666458720c93d07fcf1397e5bf7404fa7be6c55331bfb76e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 70c | 1,453$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.72 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 14c | 1,051$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 71c | 845.07$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 71c | 704.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Over | 29c | 659.72$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.32 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Over | 29c | 659.72$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.32 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Over | 29c | 659.72$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.32 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked Over | 30c | 540$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 30c | 474.52$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.21 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 10c | 224.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…8cafbacked Over | 35c | 198.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Over | 30c | 157.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…ac81backed Over | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 28c | 139.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 65c | 111.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…425fbacked Over | 29c | 110.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Over | 29c | 101.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Over | 30c | 96.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 35c | 61.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Under | 68c | 58.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Under | 72c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 31c | 38.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Under | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 72c | 20.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Under | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5Under won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)Imperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.