TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Imperialof Imperial, ALKA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,531 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked ALKA28c3,391$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.6792456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial79c3,169$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.425,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed ALKA1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Imperial77c1,748$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.382,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed ALKA6c1,713$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4624155.6%134 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked ALKA21c1,543$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.381,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ALKA7c1,438$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.135,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked ALKA18c1,387$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.761,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked ALKA27c1,349$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.2243951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Imperial78c1,208$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.021,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ALKA24c1,019$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.685,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3d…51b8backed Imperial73c937.49$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.497247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALKA21c870.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.825,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Imperial80c864.36$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.151,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe91e…9ea8backed ALKA17c851.41$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3910338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Imperial79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9159755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Imperial72c598.91$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.794,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Imperial78c578$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1648851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed ALKA19c517.3$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7926624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed ALKA21c501.9$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.929246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Imperial80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2535460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Imperial70c499.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed Imperial73c477.98$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1514248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2a…4fd0backed ALKA21c467$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.075742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Imperial76c461.51$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5115047.3%71 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f0…61edbacked ALKA21c457.81$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked ALKA22c409.22$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0327940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Imperial80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Imperial76c394.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.821,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed ALKA22c371.45$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7248240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed ALKA17c335.39$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.651,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed ALKA14c327$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.292,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ALKA28c315.6$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.842,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked ALKA13c303.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3363157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed Imperial73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8117044.1%75 W · 95 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ALKA20c288$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.62,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Imperial76c285.86$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9158745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed ALKA11c246.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9922346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed ALKA45c245.51$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed ALKA7c245$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.551,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ALKA20c239.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.373,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed ALKA6c238.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.29806.3%5 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-63.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94de…e3cabacked ALKA15c237.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed ALKA22c228.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1711349.6%56 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Imperial74c227.95$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2731241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f11…5d87backed ALKA22c225.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.672240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked ALKA21c223$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9863038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Imperial72c217.41$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.832443.5%141 W · 183 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed ALKA10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Imperial73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5427544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa781…8745backed ALKA11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.24831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed ALKA25c198.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508045%36 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Imperial80c187.43$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.494,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed ALKA35c169$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.382,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea8e…a638backed ALKA18c165.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ALKA22c160$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.43,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed Imperial72c159.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7919748.7%96 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed ALKA31c150$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.520045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked ALKA17c142.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2730450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed ALKA21c140.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5151348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ALKA21c134.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.541,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed ALKA20c130.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2324840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed ALKA22c126.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7760451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af3…8598backed Imperial78c125.64$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6414749.7%73 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked ALKA26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018647.3%88 W · 98 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Imperial69c110.69$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.877351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ac…e2a8backed Imperial69c109.1$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7711650.9%59 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed ALKA23c109$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8175438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed ALKA20c105$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…3ff8backed ALKA17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713649.3%67 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed ALKA24c99.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2747053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ALKA19c98.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.162,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Imperial78c96.2$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.332,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ALKA22c84.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.071,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed ALKA22c79.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3862248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Imperial51c77.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6827248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Imperial50c77.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8267750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked ALKA27c75.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.591,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked ALKA16c66.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6785054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ed…50efbacked Imperial71c64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.316229%18 W · 44 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked ALKA23c62.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.460032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa1d…cc28backed Imperial73c57.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked Imperial73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.536174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked ALKA24c49.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Imperial78c45.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.172,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Imperial68c44.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3828173%205 W · 76 L+21.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2814…46a2backed Imperial76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed Imperial75c25.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.398356.6%47 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Imperial78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4713148.1%63 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x104b…e9cebacked Imperial78c19.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2618481.5%150 W · 34 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick74cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Imperial65c16.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9241372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Imperial79c15.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3246555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Imperial74c14.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.751,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.