TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Imperialof Imperial, ALKA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial79c3,143$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.385,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Imperial64c2,385$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.5692456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked ALKA33c2,034$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.7275545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed ALKA1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ALKA10c1,942$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.982,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Imperial73c1,567$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.482,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed ALKA24c1,292$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.2637845.5%172 W · 206 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked ALKA28c1,282$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.271,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Imperial68c1,094$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.721,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked ALKA21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Imperial62c986.8$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.71,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed ALKA27c956.77$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.772,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALKA21c954.4$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.075,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b17…672ebacked ALKA22c894.18$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.331250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked ALKA12c882.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.741,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e3…de04backed ALKA25c840.82$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.054250%21 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Imperial63c823.15$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.951,37766.4%914 W · 463 L+77.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ALKA27c718.37$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.945,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked ALKA32c714.37$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.711,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Imperial79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9161055.9%341 W · 269 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Imperial79c629.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7447655%262 W · 214 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed ALKA26c621.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7213246.2%61 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf6b…ca87backed ALKA2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12535.7%3 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+183%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed ALKA2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12746.8%5 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+172.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed ALKA20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked Imperial74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13010262.7%64 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed ALKA10c484$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8628651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed ALKA26c476.41$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.877353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+139.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed ALKA20c463.83$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7725442.1%107 W · 147 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Imperial76c452.27$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.952,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked ALKA20c450.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030622.9%70 W · 236 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed ALKA19c434.18$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7956239.5%222 W · 340 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed ALKA7c398.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.562548%12 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ALKA33c397.71$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.055,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Imperial76c394.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.181,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed ALKA22c371.45$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7248939.7%194 W · 295 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed ALKA22c360.28$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2650043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked ALKA32c333.19$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.351,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked ALKA20c330$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6654743.7%239 W · 308 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94de…e3cabacked Imperial74c308.61$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.242941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed ALKA20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6093261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked ALKA19c286.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.528440.5%115 W · 169 L-17.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ALKA24c284.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.772,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed ALKA17c273.15$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6613332.3%43 W · 90 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ALKA15c262$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.661,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed ALKA20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029447.3%139 W · 155 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed ALKA39c249.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.520045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Imperial55c241.75$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8818549.2%91 W · 94 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ALKA26c241.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.072,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed ALKA20c220.85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1754148.6%263 W · 278 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed ALKA46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008045%36 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ALKA29c214.77$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.782,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Imperial74c208.54$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1520059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Imperial70c201.11$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.52,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed ALKA28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.81,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed ALKA23c195.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.797726%20 W · 57 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed ALKA20c190.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0221745.2%98 W · 119 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…2d03backed ALKA20c161.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.248240.2%33 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3601…ac81backed ALKA19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb065…60ccbacked ALKA27c157.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.272944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed ALKA13c154.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.622346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked ALKA46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.732,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.334,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Imperial78c149.78$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8663457.1%362 W · 272 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ALKA7c148$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.043,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed ALKA20c143$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.627544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Imperial51c142.67$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.912,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Imperial57c136.12$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.061,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Imperial77c130.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.068960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed ALKA20c129.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6414744.9%66 W · 81 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54fa…2c2ebacked ALKA47c103.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.721936.8%7 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3556…3fb4backed ALKA19c103.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.692138.1%8 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed ALKA30c100.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024155.6%134 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1207…9795backed ALKA20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed ALKA23c96.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7760451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed ALKA46c86.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6135848%172 W · 186 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked ALKA36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810146.5%47 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ALKA20c70.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.535,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed ALKA36c64.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1962448.2%301 W · 323 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ALKA30c64.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.341,89041.9%791 W · 1,099 L-71.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Imperial66c58.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2028173%205 W · 76 L+21.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed ALKA22c56.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5211349.6%56 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed ALKA20c55.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0624940.6%101 W · 148 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ALKA23c54.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.371,89547.8%906 W · 989 L-50.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x029c…a74ebacked ALKA26c50.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Imperial77c50.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d94…cc42backed ALKA24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked ALKA20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041950.1%210 W · 209 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb09f…6382backed ALKA20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108236.6%30 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…6aa1backed ALKA22c49.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.257970.9%56 W · 23 L+11.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked Imperial72c48.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6736174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ALKA26c47.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.134,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d98…7900backed ALKA29c44.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.992462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Imperial73c37.04$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Imperial71c34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8677351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8e…a638backed ALKA43c32.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0289…cb50backed Imperial62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.263647.2%17 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Imperial73c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2943764.3%281 W · 156 L+51.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Imperial63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1150458.5%295 W · 209 L-1.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed Imperial60c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.310844.4%48 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.