CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs mellren - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7ae46f333e5ef2c52ffdfc70aace10dd28bcc3e9514f730288430d539fa8ed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LPH Gamingof LPH Gaming, mellren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdced…c799backed LPH Gaming | 63c | 5,576$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.16 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…a2d0backed LPH Gaming | 70c | 4,580$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.32 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked mellren | 37c | 4,438$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.75 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked mellren | 61c | 3,555$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.54 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…47d2backed LPH Gaming | 72c | 3,243$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.16 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…218ebacked mellren | 59c | 3,008$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.66 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed mellren | 6c | 2,508$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked LPH Gaming | 41c | 2,463$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.7 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed mellren | 24c | 2,103$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.77 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked mellren | 3c | 1,633$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…efabbacked mellren | 55c | 1,512$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.36 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed mellren | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed mellren | 53c | 1,050$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.49 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked LPH Gaming | 73c | 957.42$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed LPH Gaming | 44c | 957$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.92 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked LPH Gaming | 54c | 747.98$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.17 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed LPH Gaming | 40c | 718.74$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.79 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LPH Gaming | 50c | 677.07$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.11 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed LPH Gaming | 44c | 643$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.08 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed mellren | 55c | 529.16$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.04 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked mellren | 53c | 505.77$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.78 | 133 | 71.4%95 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed mellren | 10c | 467$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked mellren | 27c | 441.7$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.97 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked LPH Gaming | 62c | 435$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed LPH Gaming | 39c | 344.69$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.94 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked mellren | 30c | 332$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LPH Gaming | 55c | 281.65$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked mellren | 58c | 258.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked mellren | 29c | 222.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked mellren | 38c | 210.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked LPH Gaming | 45c | 208$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed mellren | 5c | 203.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked mellren | 17c | 188.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked mellren | 25c | 174.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed mellren | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked mellren | 26c | 169.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed mellren | 43c | 163.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked LPH Gaming | 67c | 132$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed LPH Gaming | 45c | 119.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed LPH Gaming | 50c | 101.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed mellren | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked mellren | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed LPH Gaming | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed LPH Gaming | 63c | 93.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked mellren | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked mellren | 13c | 86.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked LPH Gaming | 41c | 85.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked LPH Gaming | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3540…3c49backed LPH Gaming | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked mellren | 51c | 58.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed mellren | 28c | 56.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked mellren | 41c | 56.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fd…9164backed mellren | 68c | 51.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked mellren | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed LPH Gaming | 45c | 49.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed mellren | 24c | 43.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed LPH Gaming | 31c | 41.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed mellren | 39c | 39.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…11e8backed mellren | 59c | 38.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LPH Gaming | 50c | 32.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed LPH Gaming | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed LPH Gaming | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed LPH Gaming | 49c | 24.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…1753backed mellren | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked LPH Gaming | 70c | 14.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs mellren - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 PlayoffsLPH Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs mellren - Map 1 WinnerLPH Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.