CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs mellren - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x408f9efdf73d7b88306b3e3cbd9f45bb5ce0fb1587597624528939d831854558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LPH Gamingof LPH Gaming, mellren
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked mellren | 39c | 4,605$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.79 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked LPH Gaming | 59c | 1,900$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.99 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked LPH Gaming | 60c | 850$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked mellren | 38c | 738.57$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.25 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked mellren | 26c | 699$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.47 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed LPH Gaming | 54c | 552$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.4 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…c799backed LPH Gaming | 61c | 518.77$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.38 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked mellren | 28c | 425$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked LPH Gaming | 56c | 392.86$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.86 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked mellren | 8c | 299.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed mellren | 38c | 294.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.04 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed LPH Gaming | 55c | 294.12$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked mellren | 32c | 289.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed LPH Gaming | 64c | 286$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked LPH Gaming | 56c | 231.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked mellren | 41c | 229$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed LPH Gaming | 50c | 204.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.09 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed LPH Gaming | 59c | 166.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked mellren | 37c | 164.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked LPH Gaming | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked LPH Gaming | 67c | 100.05$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed mellren | 51c | 98.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed mellren | 45c | 98.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LPH Gaming | 76c | 98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed mellren | 41c | 96.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed mellren | 40c | 93.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed mellren | 40c | 60.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LPH Gaming | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked mellren | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked mellren | 45c | 30.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LPH Gaming | 62c | 18.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs mellren - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 PlayoffsLPH Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs mellren - Map 2 WinnerLPH Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.