CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7b5c4d5f937e9b84313bf12e50c1453487c7dcf920eadbb0468eb99e79b913e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,897,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,127,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,897,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 724 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 195,704$36,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,338.14 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…d922backed Spirit | 1c | 104,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Spirit | 1c | 48,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Spirit | 1c | 48,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 41,266$29,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,470.92 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 41,026$24,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,698.26 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…063fbacked Spirit | 2c | 38,300$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44f…fff1backed Spirit | 1c | 37,420$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed Spirit | 74c | 37,114$27,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,596.82 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 33,900$25,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,885.94 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Spirit | 58c | 33,646$19,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,378.36 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 32c | 30,000$9,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,496.22 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spirit | 29c | 29,825$8,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,764.85 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 34c | 26,924$9,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,064.41 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 25,614$9,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,948.77 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 25,098$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,580.22 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Spirit | 2c | 25,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d9…6ae6backed Spirit | 1c | 24,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Spirit | 1c | 23,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Spirit | 1c | 22,461$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.61 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked Spirit | 1c | 22,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Spirit | 2c | 21,479$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 20,000$15,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.78 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0df…9cf9backed Spirit | 1c | 20,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 18,231$6,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,915.26 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Spirit | 1c | 16,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Spirit | 1c | 16,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Spirit | 63c | 15,698$9,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,931.22 | 373 | 46.4%173 W · 200 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Spirit | 1c | 15,183$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.83 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7288…9ec5backed Spirit | 2c | 15,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 15,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,149.97 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Spirit | 44c | 15,000$6,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,598.75 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Spirit | 1c | 13,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +307.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit | 67c | 12,873$8,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600.81 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Spirit | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Spirit | 9c | 12,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…492dbacked Spirit | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Spirit | 51c | 10,243$5,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,181.82 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 9,346$6,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.51 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…039bbacked Spirit | 71c | 9,256$6,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,595 | 118 | 71.2%84 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 9,210$3,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,353.08 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 7,396$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,918.28 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Spirit | 1c | 7,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 6,579$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.22 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Aurora Gaming | 32c | 6,500$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,418.14 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spirit | 51c | 6,093$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.11 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked Spirit | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2887…a552backed Spirit | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Spirit | 52c | 5,750$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 5,740$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.34 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Spirit | 6c | 5,600$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 5,568$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.3 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Spirit | 35c | 5,457$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Spirit | 8c | 5,400$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Spirit | 79c | 5,222$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,103.35 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Spirit | 6c | 5,100$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…de17backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 5,020$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.42 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Spirit | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Spirit | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Spirit | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Spirit | 60c | 5,000$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.99 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 4,871$3,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.98 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 4,477$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.08 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 4,398$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.68 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Spirit | 66c | 4,252$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 4,030$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Spirit | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Spirit | 4c | 4,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Spirit | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 7cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Spirit | 72c | 3,946$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.99 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 3,865$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.39 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Spirit | 9c | 3,800$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Spirit | 10c | 3,600$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Spirit | 7c | 3,300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Spirit | 8c | 3,300$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 21c | 3,212$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.52 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 35c | 3,198$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.12 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 3,150$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.86 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…68f3backed Spirit | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…ebcebacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 2,990$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.14 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 2,984$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.01 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 2,944$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.59 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Spirit | 2c | 2,919$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Spirit | 78c | 2,889$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.15 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed Spirit | 69c | 2,859$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.03 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Spirit | 5c | 2,700$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…a2a9backed Spirit | 2c | 2,686$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…5770backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 2,659$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…be70backed Spirit | 3c | 2,566$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b49…9bdcbacked Spirit | 2c | 2,566$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Spirit | 59c | 2,533$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Spirit | 35c | 2,509$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.61 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Spirit | 76c | 2,450$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.49 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…88dfbacked Spirit | 0c | 2,424$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Spirit | 36c | 2,400$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Spirit | 42c | 2,356$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Spirit | 37c | 2,332$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.34 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Spirit | 77c | 2,299$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.08 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 2,276$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.02 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.