CS2 · resolved market
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60ea69fed7147eca2f2691f69a75370d1b9b8b6c7f876c119406dbd4d9cca48f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 42c | 1,490$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.72 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…c7d2backed Over | 58c | 838.95$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Over | 57c | 550.14$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.58 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…8a97backed Over | 58c | 303$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 54c | 145.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8a83backed Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Over | 72c | 70.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…e5d3backed Under | 28c | 52.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…9e9dbacked Over | 58c | 22.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+6.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.