TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55dd…8a83

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henri Squire vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Augsburg: Raphael Perot vs Mika Brunoldbacked Mika Brunold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.6
ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Natsumi Kawaguchi vs Priska Nugrohobacked Priska Nugroho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$11.54
ITF M25 Taipei 2 Men: Ryuki Matsuda vs Chun-Chien Houbacked Ryuki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
Monterrey Open (Doubles): Piter/Tjen vs Jiang/Zhangbacked Piter/Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.47
Winston-Salem Open: Francisco Comesana vs Yibing Wubacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.05
Roehampton 2: Tiago Cacao vs Fabrizio Andalorobacked Fabrizio Andaloro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.53
ITF W35 Verbier 2 Women: Savine Erler vs Anina Lanzbacked Anina Lanz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Pavel Petrov vs Roberto Perez Socasbacked Pavel Petrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.69
ITF W15 Logrono Women: Juliana Giaccio vs Charo Esquiva Banulsbacked Charo Esquiva Banuls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Rada Zolotareva vs Lisa Zaarbacked Lisa Zaar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Nikita Mashtakov vs Marcel Zielinskibacked Nikita Mashtakov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.27
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Sunam Jeong vs Meng Yi Chenbacked Sunam Jeong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.59
ITF M15 Krakow Men: Michael Agwi vs Wojciech Marekbacked Wojciech Marek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$58.69
Rome: Filip Jianu vs Filippo Romanobacked Filippo Romano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)backed SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.54
Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs Damajuana - Map 1 Winnerbacked Damajuana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.59
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.27
Map Handicap: 33 (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.8
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$75.05
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked LAG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Abyssal (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group Abacked Mindfreak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.35
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.91
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.03
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$19.41
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$56.67
Game Handicap: SHG (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)backed GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$37.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$33.12
Will FC Juárez vs. CF América end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.