CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8485a905439a5f3a5fbf6afc9e54bb4cad01565c8e5d16511a9a489af720347
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof K27, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked K27 | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked SPARTA | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed SPARTA | 58c | 576.88$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.17 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked SPARTA | 50c | 438.92$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.46 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked SPARTA | 61c | 412.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 238 | 58.4%139 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked K27 | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…8830backed K27 | 39c | 258.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed SPARTA | 70c | 205.75$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked K27 | 36c | 202.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked SPARTA | 61c | 155.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked SPARTA | 27c | 145.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed K27 | 68c | 142.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed K27 | 28c | 101$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SPARTA | 70c | 73.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…9680backed SPARTA | 66c | 57.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed SPARTA | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked K27 | 36c | 41.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed SPARTA | 73c | 28.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed SPARTA | 79c | 23.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8a83backed SPARTA | 50c | 21.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed SPARTA | 64c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.