CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6447f5bc68b59bed24781607a62d747338796007ca5c2a4a04b9450b401f51a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed K27 | 52c | 970.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.43 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed SPARTA | 55c | 911.95$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked SPARTA | 60c | 796.04$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.73 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed K27 | 53c | 783.02$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.84 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed K27 | 80c | 746.23$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SPARTA | 43c | 738.89$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.98 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…ff1dbacked K27 | 46c | 693.76$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed SPARTA | 27c | 485.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.76 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 58c | 438.09$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.17 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed SPARTA | 60c | 415.48$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.88 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed SPARTA | 58c | 405$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked K27 | 51c | 400$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.24 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked SPARTA | 37c | 374.5$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.69 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SPARTA | 35c | 361.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed K27 | 32c | 350.76$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.22 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SPARTA | 44c | 322.78$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed K27 | 41c | 247$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.02 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed SPARTA | 62c | 235.4$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7af…f22ebacked K27 | 76c | 226.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked SPARTA | 57c | 215.23$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked K27 | 57c | 209.18$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked SPARTA | 6c | 204.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked K27 | 53c | 189.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed SPARTA | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 55c | 175.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…8bdcbacked SPARTA | 9c | 158.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SPARTA | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SPARTA | 46c | 136$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed K27 | 47c | 122.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed K27 | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked SPARTA | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed SPARTA | 58c | 113.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SPARTA | 36c | 113.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed K27 | 49c | 112.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked SPARTA | 35c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked SPARTA | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed K27 | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed SPARTA | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked SPARTA | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked K27 | 49c | 85.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed SPARTA | 53c | 83.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…acabbacked K27 | 44c | 80.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed K27 | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed K27 | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed SPARTA | 49c | 78.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…c5fdbacked SPARTA | 30c | 76.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed SPARTA | 67c | 76.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed K27 | 64c | 76.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed K27 | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked K27 | 46c | 64.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed K27 | 44c | 64.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked K27 | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked K27 | 60c | 55.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed K27 | 37c | 53.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed SPARTA | 69c | 52.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked SPARTA | 35c | 50.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed SPARTA | 50c | 50.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed K27 | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed SPARTA | 45c | 46.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed K27 | 40c | 42.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked SPARTA | 64c | 39.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed K27 | 55c | 38.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked SPARTA | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…dc1bbacked K27 | 54c | 36.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed SPARTA | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked SPARTA | 30c | 34.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed SPARTA | 54c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bd…a6c5backed K27 | 55c | 27.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed K27 | 57c | 26.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SPARTA | 47c | 25.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd182…0783backed SPARTA | 47c | 22.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 45cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked K27 | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed K27 | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed K27 | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.