CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ec3761c0d0fc12514c078d53a1132e502dcb4728ce4da30160a4861b8890ccf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof K27, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SPARTA | 55c | 3,714$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.98 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked K27 | 27c | 2,686$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.62 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed K27 | 24c | 2,310$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.53 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked SPARTA | 34c | 2,140$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.76 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked K27 | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…5729backed K27 | 66c | 1,454$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.47 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…f06ebacked SPARTA | 50c | 1,429$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…b406backed K27 | 43c | 909.98$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.86 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed K27 | 52c | 857.36$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed SPARTA | 35c | 720.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.64 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed SPARTA | 34c | 667$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.51 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked K27 | 51c | 615.22$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.81 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked K27 | 21c | 610$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed K27 | 35c | 526.55$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.27 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed K27 | 70c | 493.88$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.1 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA | 55c | 399.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked K27 | 70c | 355.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SPARTA | 66c | 315$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed K27 | 40c | 305.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.15 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed SPARTA | 32c | 290.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.12 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed K27 | 65c | 273.94$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…0c9fbacked K27 | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed K27 | 69c | 249.97$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9e…bb7fbacked K27 | 33c | 243.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…8c87backed SPARTA | 33c | 233$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed SPARTA | 62c | 217.52$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…98cdbacked K27 | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed SPARTA | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 34c | 196.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed SPARTA | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked K27 | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed K27 | 66c | 176.01$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.17 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked K27 | 32c | 163.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed SPARTA | 63c | 160.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed K27 | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked K27 | 67c | 157.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…02febacked K27 | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked K27 | 30c | 149.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed K27 | 67c | 146.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed SPARTA | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed K27 | 66c | 141.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed K27 | 46c | 139.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed K27 | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed K27 | 49c | 100.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked K27 | 70c | 100.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked K27 | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…c5fdbacked SPARTA | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…aef7backed SPARTA | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked SPARTA | 56c | 92.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcb3backed K27 | 33c | 84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed SPARTA | 80c | 79.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…3522backed K27 | 70c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed K27 | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 86.5%45 W · 7 L | +9.9wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed K27 | 70c | 70.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked K27 | 21c | 61.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SPARTA | 74c | 61.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…cd09backed SPARTA | 34c | 53.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed SPARTA | 33c | 49.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked K27 | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked SPARTA | 31c | 47.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed SPARTA | 31c | 47.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked SPARTA | 63c | 47.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked SPARTA | 62c | 46.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x230e…6d3fbacked K27 | 33c | 45.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed SPARTA | 68c | 43.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…4825backed SPARTA | 79c | 40.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed SPARTA | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…9f07backed SPARTA | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3927…8ae1backed K27 | 69c | 39.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed SPARTA | 54c | 36.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed SPARTA | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SPARTA | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed K27 | 42c | 27.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…3317backed K27 | 54c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29fa…0eeebacked K27 | 61c | 17.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed K27 | 70c | 15.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.