CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Abyssal (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cdd9e545cdc57c07e16bd96d92e7fdecd299966c31dac9bb010f9f8d1a264be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mindfreakof Mindfreak, Abyssal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,811 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe847…8da2backed Mindfreak | 60c | 2,555$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…8bddbacked Abyssal | 40c | 2,555$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Abyssal | 32c | 1,600$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.99 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Abyssal | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Mindfreak | 61c | 1,286$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.45 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Mindfreak | 67c | 1,161$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.67 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Abyssal | 37c | 918.81$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.25 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Mindfreak | 62c | 870.62$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.72 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Mindfreak | 67c | 601$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.83 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked Abyssal | 35c | 565.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Abyssal | 36c | 559.81$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Abyssal | 35c | 532.53$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.03 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed Mindfreak | 64c | 519.69$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.38 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…1aecbacked Mindfreak | 67c | 496.17$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.87 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed Mindfreak | 65c | 437.57$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Mindfreak | 63c | 426.1$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Abyssal | 33c | 371.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.63 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Mindfreak | 68c | 260.88$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Mindfreak | 64c | 200.2$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Mindfreak | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…7b51backed Mindfreak | 61c | 192.1$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…56cebacked Abyssal | 37c | 181$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…d275backed Abyssal | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Abyssal | 38c | 175.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Abyssal | 36c | 171.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Abyssal | 39c | 157.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Mindfreak | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Abyssal | 41c | 144.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Abyssal | 36c | 138.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Abyssal | 29c | 135.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Mindfreak | 64c | 132.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Mindfreak | 68c | 132.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Mindfreak | 67c | 127.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…961abacked Mindfreak | 67c | 123.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc7…0db4backed Mindfreak | 63c | 116$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Abyssal | 34c | 113.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Abyssal | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Mindfreak | 68c | 107.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Mindfreak | 66c | 106.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Mindfreak | 62c | 100.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked Abyssal | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Abyssal | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Abyssal | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Mindfreak | 68c | 99.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7612…b680backed Mindfreak | 66c | 98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Abyssal | 36c | 96.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…1535backed Mindfreak | 67c | 92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…71c9backed Mindfreak | 67c | 91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Mindfreak | 24c | 90.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Mindfreak | 61c | 86.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2532…3475backed Mindfreak | 67c | 81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Mindfreak | 67c | 79.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410f…d71cbacked Mindfreak | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Abyssal | 38c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked Mindfreak | 73c | 68.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Abyssal | 39c | 64.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Mindfreak | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8a83backed Mindfreak | 68c | 57.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…c199backed Mindfreak | 67c | 55.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Abyssal | 30c | 52.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Mindfreak | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Abyssal | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Abyssal | 35c | 49.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Abyssal | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Mindfreak | 54c | 46.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…3a96backed Mindfreak | 68c | 41.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked Mindfreak | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Mindfreak | 56c | 39.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Mindfreak | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Mindfreak | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Abyssal | 36c | 28.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Abyssal | 46c | 28.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Mindfreak | 68c | 27.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mindfreak | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…4048backed Mindfreak | 68c | 21.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Mindfreak | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.