TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f69…1535

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid+12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.99
Savannah: Liam Draxl vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.92
Santa Cruz: Eric Vanshelboim vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Eric Vanshelboim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.91
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Laura Siegemund vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$166.71
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.82
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.17
Campinas: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.28
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Panna Udvardybacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$134.47
Copa Colsanitas: Varvara Lepchenko vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.71
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$416.67
Credit One Charleston Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Sofia Keninbacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.77
Credit One Charleston Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$419.56
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Caroline Wernerbacked Caroline Werner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.89
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Andres Andradebacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$117.13
Miami Open, Qualification: Dane Sweeny vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Miami Open, Qualification: Ella Seidel vs Marina Stakusicbacked Marina Stakusic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.72
Cap Cana: Coleman Wong vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+197.7%+$249.68
Phoenix: Jay Dylan Friend vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Stefan Kozlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Santiago: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Andrea Collarinibacked Andrea Collarini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.42
Phoenix: Terence Atmane vs Darwin Blanchbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.34
Santiago: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Thiago Monteirobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.83
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$138.34
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.66
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca - Map 2 Winnerbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Counter-Strike: illwill vs magic (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$106.76
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+158.7%+$436.72
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ODDIK (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.37
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$156.41
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.19
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 9z (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$258.26
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Imperial (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$41.91
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Nexus (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked Nexus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.93
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs bankaPEPSI (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #3 Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.82
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lazer Cats (BO1) - DraculaN Group Abacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.66
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO1) - DraculaN Group Abacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.41
Counter-Strike: bankaPEPSI vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #3 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.85
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Marsborne (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Bbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$109.08
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Abyssal (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group Abacked Mindfreak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$30.36
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs OlyBet SB (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Cbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Counter-Strike: Hacha Esports vs LUNA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked LUNA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$29.25
Counter-Strike: Hacha Esports vs LUNA Esports (BO3) - Aorus League LATAM Group Bbacked LUNA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.27
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs SUPERMATCH (BO3) - Aorus League LATAM Group Abacked R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$24.03
All 21 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.02
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.48
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$226.63
Spread: Warriors (-13.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+250.7%+$293.1
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)backed Qingdao Hainiu FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.55
Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)backed Qingdao Xihaian FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$46.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats (W)backed Florida International Golden Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.