CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lazer Cats (BO1) - DraculaN Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cf000e439e0dab9341d7ffbcb3292408c8281c0a5283351f9741c85ec43bc04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lazer Catsof MOUZ NXT, Lazer Cats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Lazer Cats | 50c | 3,067$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.36 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Lazer Cats | 53c | 2,340$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 2,205$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.39 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed MOUZ NXT | 47c | 1,571$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.16 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed MOUZ NXT | 47c | 1,017$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.68 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Lazer Cats | 54c | 698.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.21 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 453.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.57 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lazer Cats | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 307$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.82 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…a3d7backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 300.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lazer Cats | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…1535backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 285.6$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Lazer Cats | 55c | 256.45$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lazer Cats | 55c | 239.54$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.61 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 196.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Lazer Cats | 14c | 156$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 49c | 152.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed Lazer Cats | 52c | 130.88$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 108.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 103$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Lazer Cats | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…f860backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 73.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Lazer Cats | 68c | 73.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 64.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 57.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Lazer Cats | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Lazer Cats | 55c | 45.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 41.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed Lazer Cats | 58c | 34.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…2dc9backed Lazer Cats | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Lazer Cats | 52c | 25.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.