CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs SUPERMATCH (BO3) - Aorus League LATAM Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb67044dd00e06ad1791e42eb1a1ae09a4e2d16d10c6e1276d7e80fd261d21c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- R2 Esports Clubof R2 Esports Club, SUPERMATCH
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,359 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3502…e42cbacked SUPERMATCH | 26c | 1,556$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.29 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SUPERMATCH | 28c | 898.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.09 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SUPERMATCH | 15c | 665.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe1…1444backed R2 Esports Club | 76c | 458.9$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed R2 Esports Club | 72c | 370$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed R2 Esports Club | 74c | 305$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed R2 Esports Club | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed SUPERMATCH | 34c | 260.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed SUPERMATCH | 23c | 225$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked R2 Esports Club | 74c | 215.2$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SUPERMATCH | 28c | 197.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed SUPERMATCH | 64c | 154.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…f1aabacked R2 Esports Club | 74c | 142.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…f953backed R2 Esports Club | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…bef8backed R2 Esports Club | 74c | 114.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed R2 Esports Club | 36c | 112$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed R2 Esports Club | 74c | 111.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked R2 Esports Club | 71c | 100.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked SUPERMATCH | 18c | 99.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…1535backed R2 Esports Club | 73c | 89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7b93backed R2 Esports Club | 73c | 69.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…9374backed R2 Esports Club | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed R2 Esports Club | 75c | 50.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…a9cebacked R2 Esports Club | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…4d15backed R2 Esports Club | 74c | 43.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed SUPERMATCH | 27c | 43.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked R2 Esports Club | 66c | 41.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…e990backed R2 Esports Club | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.