TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof L1ga Team, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,606 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ51c26,347$13,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,945.8840051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team48c19,557$9,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,455.0871454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed L1ga Team57c17,047$9,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,690.333666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed MOUZ49c12,343$6,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,295.6415457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed MOUZ46c12,339$5,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,624.5341056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked L1ga Team51c11,440$5,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,814.8936851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team48c6,742$3,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,231.8267043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed L1ga Team63c6,379$4,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,039.128845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed L1ga Team42c5,237$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.9633041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed MOUZ61c5,090$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.654556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9779959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed L1ga Team41c3,612$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.4111742.7%50 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked MOUZ72c3,514$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.6618362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ62c3,301$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.480256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ59c3,137$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.3669644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked L1ga Team38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14022954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed L1ga Team60c2,936$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.5951049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ58c2,781$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.1856852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked L1ga Team54c2,590$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.693243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1994…d63cbacked MOUZ51c2,500$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.94261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed L1ga Team63c2,479$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.7269132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ62c2,350$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88547650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed MOUZ45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1008242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed L1ga Team51c1,953$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.9454445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed L1ga Team52c1,937$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.8832854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed L1ga Team49c1,926$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.58042.5%34 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4514…4c39backed L1ga Team47c1,885$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.13825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team41c1,747$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.5499844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked L1ga Team55c1,648$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.1232652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ58c1,548$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.521,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed L1ga Team37c1,425$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.253743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ27c1,315$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.1538855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked L1ga Team54c1,296$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.571471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ59c1,290$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.951751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed L1ga Team50c1,290$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.8230647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team54c1,274$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.852,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ66c1,251$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.531,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed L1ga Team42c1,182$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.3522853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked L1ga Team41c1,174$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.3316945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed L1ga Team40c1,082$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.965441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed MOUZ48c1,073$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.8939042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked MOUZ38c1,073$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6667935.4%28 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed L1ga Team47c1,030$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.17448.6%36 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed MOUZ23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77011836.4%43 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed L1ga Team38c933.76$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.4660349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf20…3e67backed L1ga Team44c873.93$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.04825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team44c859.71$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.129240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed L1ga Team58c855.73$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.837268.1%49 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked MOUZ50c816$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40837945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed L1ga Team33c800$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26428549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacce…72e8backed L1ga Team48c727.98$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.383435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed L1ga Team68c710.2$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.3520939.2%82 W · 127 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed L1ga Team43c668.56$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.0348054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7150…0a2bbacked L1ga Team24c664.46$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.47425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed L1ga Team41c635.84$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.1933549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed L1ga Team46c603.7$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.719533.7%32 W · 63 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed L1ga Team53c600$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31561548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked L1ga Team46c598.95$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.6133845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f5…9377backed L1ga Team40c587.85$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.182334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked MOUZ17c563.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.2436654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb110…21eabacked L1ga Team37c520.11$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.447550.7%38 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed L1ga Team51c514.05$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.0729347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed L1ga Team57c494.53$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.7421146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team37c489.01$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2795342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed MOUZ27c480.39$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.728425%21 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked MOUZ46c429.69$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.854535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team48c412.57$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.981,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked L1ga Team31c383.32$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7392056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed MOUZ75c382.9$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5915151%77 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974a…98c3backed L1ga Team61c370$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.73542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf483…3f62backed MOUZ20c359.92$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.6211150.5%56 W · 55 L+14.2wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed L1ga Team50c350.7$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.968251.2%42 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed L1ga Team37c321.22$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4248352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed MOUZ66c306.97$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7220350.7%103 W · 100 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed L1ga Team40c303$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7511858.5%69 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17460251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed L1ga Team59c279.42$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0146150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked L1ga Team50c271.6$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.832148.3%155 W · 166 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team75c267.98$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed L1ga Team25c260.27$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0725935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked L1ga Team37c256.51$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3688166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed L1ga Team48c249.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6620858.7%122 W · 86 L+22.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed MOUZ61c247.52$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.532572%18 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8769…04aebacked L1ga Team66c232.29$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.355345.3%24 W · 29 L-7.5wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-31.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked L1ga Team53c231.79$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.026152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked L1ga Team65c224.4$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.94452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked L1ga Team12c216.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610541%43 W · 62 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team37c215.84$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8661745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f9e…10c8backed L1ga Team51c213.53$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.97149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed MOUZ48c203.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5527737.2%103 W · 174 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed L1ga Team45c199.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked L1ga Team24c198.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+62%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d8…5be4backed MOUZ42c198.61$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+96%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team49c196.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5179343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed L1ga Team51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9947951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed L1ga Team51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.062722.2%6 W · 21 L-7.3wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-62.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked L1ga Team54c187.51$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.267424.3%18 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed L1ga Team52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1217443.7%76 W · 98 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed L1ga Team50c186.1$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1646664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.