Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ccf9ae67bf6777783f2c5d366a93e23c74572a1161fc807ba9095a88694b607
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof L1ga Team, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 51c | 26,347$13,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,945.88 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team | 48c | 19,557$9,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,455.08 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed L1ga Team | 57c | 17,047$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,690.33 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed MOUZ | 49c | 12,343$6,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,295.64 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed MOUZ | 46c | 12,339$5,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,624.53 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked L1ga Team | 51c | 11,440$5,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,814.89 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team | 48c | 6,742$3,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,231.82 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed L1ga Team | 63c | 6,379$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.12 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed L1ga Team | 42c | 5,237$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.96 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed MOUZ | 61c | 5,090$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.6 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.97 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed L1ga Team | 41c | 3,612$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.41 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked MOUZ | 72c | 3,514$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.66 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 62c | 3,301$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.4 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 59c | 3,137$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.36 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked L1ga Team | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed L1ga Team | 60c | 2,936$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.59 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 58c | 2,781$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.18 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked L1ga Team | 54c | 2,590$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.69 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked MOUZ | 51c | 2,500$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.9 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed L1ga Team | 63c | 2,479$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.72 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ | 62c | 2,350$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed MOUZ | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed L1ga Team | 51c | 1,953$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.94 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed L1ga Team | 52c | 1,937$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.88 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed L1ga Team | 49c | 1,926$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.5 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4514…4c39backed L1ga Team | 47c | 1,885$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 41c | 1,747$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.54 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked L1ga Team | 55c | 1,648$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.12 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 58c | 1,548$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.52 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed L1ga Team | 37c | 1,425$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.25 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,315$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.15 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked L1ga Team | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.57 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 59c | 1,290$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.9 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed L1ga Team | 50c | 1,290$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.82 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 54c | 1,274$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.85 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 66c | 1,251$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.53 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed L1ga Team | 42c | 1,182$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.35 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked L1ga Team | 41c | 1,174$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.33 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed L1ga Team | 40c | 1,082$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.9 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,073$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.89 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked MOUZ | 38c | 1,073$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed L1ga Team | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed MOUZ | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed L1ga Team | 38c | 933.76$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.46 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…3e67backed L1ga Team | 44c | 873.93$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 44c | 859.71$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.1 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed L1ga Team | 58c | 855.73$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.83 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked MOUZ | 50c | 816$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed L1ga Team | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…72e8backed L1ga Team | 48c | 727.98$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.38 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed L1ga Team | 68c | 710.2$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.35 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed L1ga Team | 43c | 668.56$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.03 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…0a2bbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 664.46$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed L1ga Team | 41c | 635.84$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.19 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed L1ga Team | 46c | 603.7$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.71 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed L1ga Team | 53c | 600$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked L1ga Team | 46c | 598.95$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.61 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…9377backed L1ga Team | 40c | 587.85$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.18 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked MOUZ | 17c | 563.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.24 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked L1ga Team | 37c | 520.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed L1ga Team | 51c | 514.05$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.07 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed L1ga Team | 57c | 494.53$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.74 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 489.01$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.27 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed MOUZ | 27c | 480.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.72 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked MOUZ | 46c | 429.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.85 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 48c | 412.57$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.98 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked L1ga Team | 31c | 383.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed MOUZ | 75c | 382.9$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed L1ga Team | 61c | 370$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed MOUZ | 20c | 359.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.62 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed L1ga Team | 50c | 350.7$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed L1ga Team | 37c | 321.22$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed MOUZ | 66c | 306.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed L1ga Team | 40c | 303$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed L1ga Team | 59c | 279.42$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 271.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 75c | 267.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed L1ga Team | 25c | 260.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 256.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed L1ga Team | 48c | 249.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed MOUZ | 61c | 247.52$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…04aebacked L1ga Team | 66c | 232.29$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.35 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked L1ga Team | 53c | 231.79$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked L1ga Team | 65c | 224.4$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked L1ga Team | 12c | 216.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team | 37c | 215.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed L1ga Team | 51c | 213.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed MOUZ | 48c | 203.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed L1ga Team | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d8…5be4backed MOUZ | 42c | 198.61$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +96%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team | 49c | 196.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed L1ga Team | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed L1ga Team | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked L1ga Team | 54c | 187.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed L1ga Team | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed L1ga Team | 50c | 186.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.