TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,654 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ60c30,184$18,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,013.6140051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed L1ga Team75c13,224$9,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.0315457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed MOUZ62c4,727$2,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,931.7354556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed L1ga Team39c3,970$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,412.635841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed L1ga Team40c3,783$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.068042.5%34 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed MOUZ42c3,583$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.8413068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ28c3,350$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.547650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed L1ga Team40c2,774$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.8660349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team44c2,390$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.981,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked L1ga Team43c2,001$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.9932652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked L1ga Team38c1,926$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.8736851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked L1ga Team38c1,829$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.183243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed L1ga Team74c1,539$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.9696557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed L1ga Team34c1,528$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.4469644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked L1ga Team37c1,481$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.4656542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team38c1,419$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.71,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed L1ga Team38c1,371$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.7254445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked MOUZ25c1,323$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6316945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ37c1,259$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.9771454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed MOUZ66c1,090$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.0211742.7%50 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team65c1,020$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0999844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed MOUZ22c1,006$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5613228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ25c974.49$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.6267043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed MOUZ26c906.13$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.8825935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team37c875.67$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.6795342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ20c869.86$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9738855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed L1ga Team38c866.52$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.2465441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed L1ga Team75c787.7$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9245046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf483…3f62backed MOUZ7c756.66$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1311150.5%56 W · 55 L+14.2wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed MOUZ13c734.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.778425%21 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed L1ga Team36c727.99$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.9128549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed L1ga Team37c723.71$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.2339042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked L1ga Team38c722.1$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.746240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed L1ga Team37c702.15$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.353743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed L1ga Team41c629.3$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.7910949.5%54 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…0fd9backed MOUZ60c575.84$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-58.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ad2…fcd9backed L1ga Team39c568.41$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked MOUZ17c568.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.191,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team47c543.59$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.412,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked MOUZ64c535.06$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.4414157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked MOUZ65c530.03$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8636654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed L1ga Team39c524.67$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.0533549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked L1ga Team37c520.69$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.542145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed L1ga Team80c515$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10332854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaba0…62aabacked MOUZ60c505.57$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.341457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x227f…405dbacked L1ga Team39c499.04$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.421442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked MOUZ16c490.84$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3118362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked MOUZ31c460.11$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3553844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed MOUZ41c457.63$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5248054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ56c411.54$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.041,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ59c393.76$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.3260251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked MOUZ53c343.65$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1336759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed MOUZ5c327.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3652243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed L1ga Team37c327.14$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2928544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf20…3e67backed MOUZ31c309.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.86825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed MOUZ63c303.77$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3833644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed L1ga Team41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17761548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed MOUZ32c299.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9624131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed L1ga Team41c290$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.121146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ32c285.91$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4852649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed L1ga Team55c265.38$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4329347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked L1ga Team38c253.37$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.092828.6%8 W · 20 L-6.5wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked L1ga Team37c250$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.588166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked L1ga Team48c244.16$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9332148.3%155 W · 166 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed MOUZ25c202.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.547448.6%36 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked MOUZ64c195.68$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2425547.8%122 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team35c188.69$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.651,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c9…6b8bbacked MOUZ8c188.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4710950.5%55 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team37c185$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5529240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed L1ga Team45c177.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7956548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed L1ga Team43c168.36$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.651140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team63c168.35$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.771,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed MOUZ40c167.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1530647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed L1ga Team35c162.2$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4380742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed MOUZ43c154.52$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3533041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed MOUZ25c152.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.241037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a74…e456backed L1ga Team57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed L1ga Team67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2846049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb110…21eabacked L1ga Team70c139.84$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.627550.7%38 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f9e…10c8backed L1ga Team80c129.88$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.987149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2a…b7b5backed MOUZ50c129.02$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.446162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd18c…ecbdbacked L1ga Team80c123.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked L1ga Team38c115.54$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.636152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team76c108.93$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0291356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed L1ga Team38c106.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9967555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed MOUZ30c105.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2219145.5%87 W · 104 L+13.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed MOUZ23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2379343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked MOUZ52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5258152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…7178backed MOUZ25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510738.3%41 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team62c95.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.242,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked MOUZ21c90.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0340644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked L1ga Team73c84.84$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9119951.8%103 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a00…e8e7backed MOUZ35c82.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.984436.4%16 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed MOUZ26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.836044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed MOUZ43c70.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2172637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e67…0f23backed MOUZ49c70.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.17263.9%46 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked MOUZ26c69.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9669033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed MOUZ26c68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6865337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaca…51d1backed L1ga Team38c65.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.846266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed L1ga Team38c61.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2635948.2%173 W · 186 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.