Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cd5b2f7b30a28dc2a27fbe7ba8d9375020e380836aa919865dd711fb5e3ecf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 60c | 30,184$18,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,013.61 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed L1ga Team | 75c | 13,224$9,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.03 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed MOUZ | 62c | 4,727$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.73 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed L1ga Team | 39c | 3,970$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.63 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed L1ga Team | 40c | 3,783$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.06 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed MOUZ | 42c | 3,583$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.84 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ | 28c | 3,350$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.5 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed L1ga Team | 40c | 2,774$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.86 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 44c | 2,390$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.98 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked L1ga Team | 43c | 2,001$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.99 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked L1ga Team | 38c | 1,926$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.87 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked L1ga Team | 38c | 1,829$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.18 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed L1ga Team | 74c | 1,539$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.96 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed L1ga Team | 34c | 1,528$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.44 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 1,481$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.46 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 38c | 1,419$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.7 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed L1ga Team | 38c | 1,371$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.72 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked MOUZ | 25c | 1,323$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.63 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,259$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.97 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed MOUZ | 66c | 1,090$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.02 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 65c | 1,020$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.09 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed MOUZ | 22c | 1,006$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.56 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 25c | 974.49$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.62 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed MOUZ | 26c | 906.13$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.88 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 875.67$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.67 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ | 20c | 869.86$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed L1ga Team | 38c | 866.52$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.24 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed L1ga Team | 75c | 787.7$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.92 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed MOUZ | 7c | 756.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed MOUZ | 13c | 734.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed L1ga Team | 36c | 727.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.91 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed L1ga Team | 37c | 723.71$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.23 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked L1ga Team | 38c | 722.1$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.7 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed L1ga Team | 37c | 702.15$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.35 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed L1ga Team | 41c | 629.3$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.79 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed MOUZ | 60c | 575.84$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad2…fcd9backed L1ga Team | 39c | 568.41$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MOUZ | 17c | 568.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 47c | 543.59$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.41 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked MOUZ | 64c | 535.06$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.44 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked MOUZ | 65c | 530.03$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.86 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed L1ga Team | 39c | 524.67$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.05 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 520.69$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed L1ga Team | 80c | 515$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked MOUZ | 60c | 505.57$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…405dbacked L1ga Team | 39c | 499.04$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked MOUZ | 16c | 490.84$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked MOUZ | 31c | 460.11$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed MOUZ | 41c | 457.63$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.52 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 56c | 411.54$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.04 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ | 59c | 393.76$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.32 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked MOUZ | 53c | 343.65$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.13 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed MOUZ | 5c | 327.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed L1ga Team | 37c | 327.14$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.29 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…3e67backed MOUZ | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed MOUZ | 63c | 303.77$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.38 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed L1ga Team | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed MOUZ | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed L1ga Team | 41c | 290$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked MOUZ | 32c | 285.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed L1ga Team | 55c | 265.38$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked L1ga Team | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -6.5wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked L1ga Team | 48c | 244.16$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.93 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed MOUZ | 25c | 202.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked MOUZ | 64c | 195.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 35c | 188.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…6b8bbacked MOUZ | 8c | 188.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 185$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed L1ga Team | 45c | 177.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed L1ga Team | 43c | 168.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team | 63c | 168.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed MOUZ | 40c | 167.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed L1ga Team | 35c | 162.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed MOUZ | 43c | 154.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed MOUZ | 25c | 152.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…e456backed L1ga Team | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed L1ga Team | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked L1ga Team | 70c | 139.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed L1ga Team | 80c | 129.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed MOUZ | 50c | 129.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18c…ecbdbacked L1ga Team | 80c | 123.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked L1ga Team | 38c | 115.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team | 76c | 108.93$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed L1ga Team | 38c | 106.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed MOUZ | 30c | 105.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed MOUZ | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked MOUZ | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed MOUZ | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 62c | 95.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked MOUZ | 21c | 90.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked L1ga Team | 73c | 84.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…e8e7backed MOUZ | 35c | 82.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed MOUZ | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed MOUZ | 43c | 70.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…0f23backed MOUZ | 49c | 70.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MOUZ | 26c | 69.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed MOUZ | 26c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed L1ga Team | 38c | 65.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed L1ga Team | 38c | 61.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.