TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of Liquid, M80
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,952

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x21ec…5348backed Liquid63c9,841$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,199.8172453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed M8037c9,559$3,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,057.8428248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Liquid61c7,683$4,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,686.4239249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed M8038c4,823$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.1984958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked M8063c4,711$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.487,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2606…ba10backed Liquid62c4,343$2,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,692.783956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Liquid38c3,049$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.7135940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed M8061c2,921$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.2919645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Liquid60c2,823$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.445,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Liquid64c2,729$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.2929858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed M8037c2,517$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.8736742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed M8039c2,470$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.8625440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf1b…e271backed Liquid64c2,320$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.896358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcd4…39b8backed Liquid62c2,039$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.96637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed M8039c2,000$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.991,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed M8048c1,990$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.1653746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Liquid34c1,963$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.645,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed M8060c1,869$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.336,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Liquid37c1,800$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.9931345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked M8036c1,700$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0889148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed M8059c1,647$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.984,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Liquid64c1,529$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.438358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Liquid64c1,521$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.626246.8%29 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked M8051c1,463$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.93,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked M8035c1,350$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.512449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e0…d407backed M8039c1,308$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Liquid42c1,137$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.7416732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Liquid52c1,073$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.084,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed M8037c1,039$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.883630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed M8039c1,011$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61713850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Liquid50c1,006$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.0775056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Liquid37c998.95$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.6146340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Liquid57c988.76$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.0215641%64 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed M8037c969.75$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.959554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Liquid62c963.19$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.1842050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Liquid64c949.44$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.9327459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed M8039c944.99$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.8417847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed M8064c924.95$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3291,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked M8037c899.98$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.991,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed M8039c887.15$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.1611637.9%44 W · 72 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Liquid61c880$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.813845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed M8041c875$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.258751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc426…20b4backed M8037c810$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.39656.3%54 W · 42 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed M8036c773.5$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.7897040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked Liquid63c652.19$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.8814853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked M8039c635.84$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.8612153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked M8039c631.03$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.9352636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed Liquid63c630.99$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.532853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked M8038c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3726147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M8059c517.72$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.575,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked M8039c516.32$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9629044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed M8038c514.74$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.5312334.1%42 W · 81 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed M8035c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32523851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed M8037c499.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9917849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Liquid43c499.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.999027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed M8037c499.98$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.985,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed M8039c494.05$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3724429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Liquid45c468.75$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed M8038c413.96$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4333044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Liquid36c399.22$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2569635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed M8038c395.86$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5954032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Liquid37c394.65$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2961338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc97…2811backed Liquid64c374.13$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.834450%22 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f69…1535backed M8057c363.75$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.412161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0935…d9efbacked M8047c349.34$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.757471.6%53 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liquid30c338.91$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2860147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd3…224bbacked Liquid61c323.19$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Liquid61c320.2$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3220458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked M8066c303.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0538858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed M8065c300.2$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3719351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Liquid63c293.64$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.876748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed M8068c289.79$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.675158.8%30 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed M8036c288.48$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.634,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Liquid28c277.65$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.662850%14 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Liquid7c266$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.483,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Liquid40c259.18$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6719047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Liquid38c254.73$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2842638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3996…1b4fbacked M8038c253.37$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.093751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Liquid35c250.81$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.761,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Liquid35c247.02$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4924747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Liquid28c233.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2349242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed M8037c226$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.384555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed M8039c212.39$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5664854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e3…770ebacked M8038c211.55$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.111764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked Liquid46c210.68$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.763540%14 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd238…ad7fbacked Liquid62c204.9$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.04540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Liquid21c202.88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.282,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac2a…026ebacked M8061c202.33$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed M8036c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12838650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked M8037c200$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12723653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc939…6e0fbacked M8037c195.04$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.889044.4%40 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked M8053c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1836151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed M8062c171.29$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0915133.1%50 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b4…d45dbacked Liquid63c171.13$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.027859%46 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0609…5aacbacked Liquid63c170.93$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6910347.6%49 W · 54 L-11.7wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed M8071c169.82$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6719652.6%103 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Liquid60c166.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1348943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Liquid62c159.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7667651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb1…eab3backed Liquid62c157.61$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.726259.7%37 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd054…1ec1backed Liquid63c156.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.63842.1%16 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.