CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe232a528ee2978c952c2d18cfcd91f49f33d45dc628a1d85301c24e517937ea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of Liquid, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Liquid | 58c | 1,428$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.16 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked M80 | 46c | 1,025$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.86 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked M80 | 65c | 983.53$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.86 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 71c | 911.29$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed M80 | 70c | 804.24$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.47 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked M80 | 71c | 694.29$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.53 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Liquid | 19c | 612.73$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked M80 | 46c | 598.67$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.68 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…790dbacked Liquid | 56c | 591.98$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…2b54backed M80 | 43c | 579.47$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…c3b9backed Liquid | 57c | 516.33$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Liquid | 54c | 473.8$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.85 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Liquid | 60c | 370.13$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.08 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Liquid | 60c | 325.72$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.19 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Liquid | 19c | 310$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Liquid | 35c | 301.16$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Liquid | 48c | 290.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc37…8505backed Liquid | 38c | 288.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked M80 | 70c | 279.49$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 73c | 260.47$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed M80 | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Liquid | 22c | 219.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed M80 | 39c | 201.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Liquid | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Liquid | 61c | 192.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.19 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Liquid | 38c | 187.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked M80 | 40c | 183.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Liquid | 21c | 178.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Liquid | 36c | 174.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed M80 | 77c | 172.09$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Liquid | 31c | 170.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed M80 | 43c | 169.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Liquid | 57c | 166$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked M80 | 66c | 137.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Liquid | 23c | 125.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed M80 | 40c | 120.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Liquid | 24c | 118$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liquid | 21c | 97.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Liquid | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed M80 | 66c | 90.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Liquid | 26c | 60.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed M80 | 76c | 58.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Liquid | 34c | 56.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked M80 | 75c | 52.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…3a6bbacked Liquid | 41c | 41.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -21.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…2766backed Liquid | 62c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Liquid | 62c | 34.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed M80 | 61c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked M80 | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Liquid | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…1584backed M80 | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked M80 | 73c | 16.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsM80 won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.