CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9edb829c3595a2c2e483183fd3f8317ba41abfebc7c5b5cd0d29cd44f71693a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of Liquid, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Liquid | 47c | 2,813$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.39 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed M80 | 54c | 2,568$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.67 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked M80 | 53c | 2,282$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.76 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed M80 | 50c | 1,541$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.54 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Liquid | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked M80 | 42c | 1,399$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.81 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked M80 | 49c | 1,068$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.06 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Liquid | 50c | 966.72$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.05 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked M80 | 54c | 854.26$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.3 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…0b28backed Liquid | 38c | 793.49$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.53 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed M80 | 50c | 764$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Liquid | 53c | 746.72$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.87 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed M80 | 53c | 746.69$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.25 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Liquid | 18c | 584.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked M80 | 52c | 532.37$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.08 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed M80 | 51c | 494$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.51 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked M80 | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed M80 | 61c | 393.84$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c99…dfe9backed M80 | 56c | 386.43$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Liquid | 32c | 384.12$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Liquid | 55c | 353.9$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…eb58backed Liquid | 61c | 340$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked M80 | 36c | 323.82$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.76 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Liquid | 36c | 313.19$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed M80 | 49c | 296.85$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Liquid | 16c | 242.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…ae59backed M80 | 62c | 241.71$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Liquid | 59c | 236.18$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Liquid | 58c | 229.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.18 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked M80 | 52c | 197$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed M80 | 42c | 192.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed M80 | 73c | 164.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…b0e0backed Liquid | 63c | 162.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Liquid | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liquid | 48c | 146.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid | 50c | 136.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked M80 | 35c | 136.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Liquid | 45c | 134.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Liquid | 58c | 119.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed M80 | 53c | 116.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Liquid | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Liquid | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked M80 | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Liquid | 53c | 95.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…5b3abacked Liquid | 59c | 82.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed M80 | 56c | 74.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid | 56c | 70.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Liquid | 55c | 69.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Liquid | 50c | 63.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Liquid | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 152 | 41.4%63 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed M80 | 57c | 59.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Liquid | 52c | 59.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Liquid | 35c | 57.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked M80 | 50c | 56.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked M80 | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7f…6e16backed Liquid | 47c | 52.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Liquid | 30c | 50.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…9728backed Liquid | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed M80 | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed M80 | 51c | 31.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed M80 | 46c | 28.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 53c | 27.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Liquid | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…3a6bbacked Liquid | 51c | 24.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -21.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed M80 | 51c | 24.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsM80 won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.