TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0609…5aac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
309
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10347.6%49 W · 54 L-11.7wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.09
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.11
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs ENCE Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+182.3%+$88.23
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Liquid (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+74%+$51.08
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Passion UA (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.59
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs AaB Esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$46.99
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.2
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.77
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$23.68
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.69
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO5) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.6
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$39.35
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.08
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$82.12
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.27
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.69
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$32.24
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.28
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.99
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs MINLATE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$32.32
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$17.32
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.37
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT7171.8%51 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.68
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.55
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.3
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.98
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.8
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.28
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$18.2
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.73
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$46.14
LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$55.74
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$59.02
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$9.06
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.7
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50.56
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.73
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$18.29
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.57
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$73.13
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$13.57
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14.64
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$18.61
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$19.3
LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffsbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$52.49
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$35.02
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT5455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.78
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.84
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$60.12
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.13
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.09
Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$86.44
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.02
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.74
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.6
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.43
Darius Garland: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.02
Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$27.9
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.9
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$95.85
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$87.21
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.95
Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44.31
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$7.05
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40.9
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$16.28
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50.39
Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$74.59
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.31
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$65.41
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.17
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.39
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Terence Atmanebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.51
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$18.74
Argentina Open: Facundo Acosta vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.57
Argentina Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.28
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$13.62
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+32.1%+$12.73
Australian Open Men's: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.5%+$7.38
Alcaraz vs. Musetti: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.21
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$13.73
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.5%+$19.68
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$37.19
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$56.82
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.86
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6.24
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$16.55
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$10.61
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.25
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$19.71
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10.67
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.62
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.26
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29.35
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.64
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sam Patterson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.38
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.17
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+30.4%+$112.17
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203%+$94.75
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.89
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.54
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$41.16
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+52.8%+$24.85
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.12
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralhobacked Imavov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$44.22
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$15.21
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$39.09
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$26.25
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$14.29
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$34.52
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.95
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.87
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$20.29
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+90.8%+$45.6
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50.16
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$59.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$102.57
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.54
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.27
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$115.42
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$67.94
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$21.43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50.44
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$29.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+48.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$51.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.