Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90e3de2c9d8f63305bd0ee3fec8fe0dac23cef6823bf065cd82c450d437e98b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulof Paul, Fokina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Paul | 65c | 30,005$19,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,451.68 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Paul | 66c | 25,434$16,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,685.77 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fokina | 33c | 13,576$4,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,531.19 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Fokina | 35c | 12,343$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.04 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Fokina | 35c | 12,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Fokina | 35c | 11,330$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.05 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Paul | 65c | 11,072$7,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885.95 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Fokina | 36c | 9,601$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.86 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Paul | 66c | 5,480$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.09 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Fokina | 36c | 5,008$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.87 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Fokina | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Fokina | 34c | 4,929$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.31 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Paul | 66c | 4,312$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.94 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Fokina | 2c | 4,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Fokina | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Fokina | 34c | 3,954$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.48 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Fokina | 34c | 3,802$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Paul | 65c | 3,700$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fokina | 34c | 3,489$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.35 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Fokina | 35c | 3,034$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.49 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Fokina | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Paul | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Fokina | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fokina | 22c | 2,571$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.77 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Paul | 65c | 2,015$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.37 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Paul | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Paul | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.98 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Paul | 66c | 1,946$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.69 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Fokina | 20c | 1,620$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Fokina | 34c | 1,600$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Paul | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Paul | 65c | 1,535$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.37 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Fokina | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Paul | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Paul | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…b52cbacked Fokina | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…e648backed Fokina | 33c | 1,324$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Paul | 65c | 1,323$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.08 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Paul | 66c | 1,195$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.2 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Fokina | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1162…f351backed Fokina | 34c | 1,120$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…dd99backed Paul | 65c | 1,063$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b0…dd1ebacked Fokina | 35c | 1,010$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Paul | 80c | 1,001$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…3214backed Paul | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Paul | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Fokina | 36c | 970$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.2 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Paul | 66c | 888.96$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.98 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Fokina | 34c | 855.18$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.76 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Fokina | 37c | 811$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.07 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paul | 75c | 784.38$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.94 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Paul | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Fokina | 34c | 734$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.56 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Paul | 65c | 647$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.45 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Fokina | 34c | 583.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Fokina | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fokina | 13c | 553.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Paul | 75c | 543.91$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fokina | 34c | 510.48$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.56 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Paul | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Fokina | 36c | 486.11$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Fokina | 34c | 460$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Paul | 66c | 451.52$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.52 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f8…5742backed Paul | 66c | 450$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fokina | 34c | 438.04$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Fokina | 36c | 388.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…7ecebacked Paul | 65c | 385.77$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…0f87backed Paul | 66c | 380$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Paul | 65c | 369.38$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Paul | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa389…d155backed Paul | 65c | 360$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…58b5backed Paul | 66c | 353.6$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fokina | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Paul | 63c | 350$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…dccebacked Paul | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Paul | 65c | 349.23$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Fokina | 37c | 329.73$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…21b7backed Paul | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Fokina | 34c | 306$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Fokina | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Paul | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b8…0739backed Paul | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…dc41backed Fokina | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…9ab0backed Paul | 66c | 290$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…bbe8backed Fokina | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Paul | 65c | 269.23$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…5bc2backed Fokina | 38c | 265$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Fokina | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Fokina | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Fokina | 32c | 230.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae84…fd9dbacked Paul | 63c | 230.16$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Paul | 65c | 225.57$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Fokina | 33c | 215.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Fokina | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Fokina | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Paul | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Fokina | 34c | 199.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Fokina | 34c | 182.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Paul | 75c | 182$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Fokina | 37c | 177.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinathis page
- Paul vs. Fokina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.