TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,946,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,974,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,946,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes44c4,585,003$2,011,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573,422.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No56c944,749$526,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526,225.137146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked No57c900,000$511,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,000650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked No56c800,000$448,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No56c700,000$393,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393,0002744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No56c227,272$127,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127,272.322035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked No56c200,000$111,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,5001764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No56c145,000$80,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,9507346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No49c86,469$41,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,970.9858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c79,200$45,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,14446048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked No57c44,472$25,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,167.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c43,867$16,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,569.41,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No55c40,283$22,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,306.7433851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No56c40,000$22,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,2006451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No56c37,776$20,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,965.6813843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No55c30,000$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,5008259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No57c25,000$14,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,2001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c22,380$12,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,587.8261447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes42c20,941$8,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,145.742475%18 W · 6 L+6.3wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No56c20,000$11,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,1003447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed No56c20,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,2001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No57c17,500$9,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,97528543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c17,142$8,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,115.081,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No57c16,500$9,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4051735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No57c15,555$8,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,866.3512147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes42c13,893$5,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,057.7117853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No56c11,982$6,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,650.095350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No58c11,014$6,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,388.123548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed No57c10,500$5,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,985683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+109.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c9,480$5,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,24259441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked No15c9,238$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.523138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No57c8,660$4,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,936.216144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No59c8,193$4,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,862.178938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No57c8,070$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked No56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4801540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked No57c7,475$4,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,260.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+48%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No57c7,000$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9702759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No57c6,326$3,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,595.825444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No57c6,128$3,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4931637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No58c5,485$3,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,174.252853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes41c5,032$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,968.914235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No56c4,800$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6884542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No57c4,275$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4375433.3%18 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No59c4,237$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008132.1%26 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked No57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+106.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2809149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed No57c3,540$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick39cpaid+106.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No57c3,500$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9952860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No57c3,500$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98012956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No22c3,446$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.1734342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No60c3,435$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.451850%9 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+57%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No57c3,218$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8344854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No2c3,152$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.317140.8%29 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked No36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0803348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71022147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb763…247dbacked No57c3,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No55c2,974$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.698848.9%43 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes47c2,672$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.4524963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No57c2,632$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004951%25 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No57c2,500$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42520644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No55c2,030$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.4336851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No58c2,020$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.2438048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.9916349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No60c2,000$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.992955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No47c1,999$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.6713538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c74…b42ebacked No57c1,837$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No18c1,800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32025450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed No57c1,750$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c1,740$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.2829846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked No37c1,622$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes41c1,603$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.1138748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No60c1,500$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9053759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked No56c1,470$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No57c1,333$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.817953.2%42 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed No58c1,179$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No17c1,106$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1882040%8 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+41.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No57c1,100$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6272339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed No8c1,080$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.92425%6 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No59c1,035$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.374450%22 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5907631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5706443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58011438.6%44 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8e…bc92backed No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes40c971.92$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.9539746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No58c956$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.481118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-54%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8025…c036backed No57c909.09$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.52650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed No57c880$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed No57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No57c850$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.512242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44814645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45614447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No41c790.75$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.7212450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked No37c780.05$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.62837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No35c753.09$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.912348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.