TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e8e…bc92

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst College Football at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+177.8%+$160
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$208
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$121.73
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$34.46
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$410.01
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$230.99
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$735.35
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,055.88
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$629.94
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+53.8%+$376.93
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$863.95
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$82.65
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+56.7%+$614.86
Predators vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+37%+$369.84
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$778.8
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$1,199.98
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.87
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$8.87
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+46.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+68.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,083Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$817
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$351
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$790
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,238Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,341.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+244.8%+$568
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+108.3%+$259.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,955Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$1,358.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Kentucky vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.