TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Ducks, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2170…8e8abacked Utah78c3,847$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.921361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Utah10c2,778$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+90.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Utah68c2,677$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.641,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Ducks16c2,232$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.0413754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Ducks29c2,064$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.5611533%38 W · 77 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Utah71c2,003$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5816357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Ducks32c1,149$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.5832331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Utah73c956.88$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.8827958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Utah71c754.93$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9331753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah72c744.13$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db3…3772backed Ducks27c699.93$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Utah69c625.57$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.931435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick61cpaid-45%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Utah72c539.78$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Ducks27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Utah73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1353557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Utah69c499.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15566951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Ducks15c478.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0614844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e37…160fbacked Utah73c475.48$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.381163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99b4…f541backed Ducks21c449.87$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Ducks31c435.48$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13512941.9%54 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks31c405$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed Ducks26c396.69$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Ducks26c384.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0937738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8f…61d9backed Utah73c367.12$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+60.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e45…9719backed Ducks28c364.29$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Utah62c350$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1331,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks36c345$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.21,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Ducks30c330.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1417…26dabacked Ducks15c328.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.392218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Ducks31c316.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.261428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8151044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah75c297.63$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.693,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Ducks28c287.84$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8018136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Ducks16c267.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.877634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4364…dc7abacked Ducks38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5faf…a1d1backed Ducks24c232.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f52…6ff2backed Ducks30c224$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.911827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks26c223.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.111,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Ducks29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5833447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c8…0656backed Ducks28c195.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb0…823fbacked Ducks28c190.39$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.311560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee06…80bdbacked Ducks28c180.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.631540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75c5…53c4backed Ducks28c179.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e38…5d36backed Ducks28c177$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Ducks26c163.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa191…7facbacked Utah74c162.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.432657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Ducks32c156.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5176450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca22…96ecbacked Utah64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+101.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ducks26c153.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7660549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Utah69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.520861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Ducks31c149.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4928440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3f2…a661backed Utah64c140.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.63580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+71.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83f5…b3fdbacked Utah73c140$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0623…35dbbacked Utah74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.143080%24 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0721…25cfbacked Ducks28c132.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f6…a632backed Ducks28c130.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.581315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-67.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Ducks15c108.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.378720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Utah69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3135154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Ducks28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2827643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7701…b14abacked Utah80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bc9…2c38backed Ducks28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick32cpaid-90.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa39…822ebacked Ducks22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid+26.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Ducks41c88.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116f…2737backed Ducks29c88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…1f49backed Utah71c88$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…df2abacked Ducks32c87.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd50a…0eb1backed Utah69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6369…feb1backed Ducks38c86.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8153…7eb3backed Ducks28c82.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.14714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdba2…cb54backed Utah69c78.26$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.261241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Ducks32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454b…fed3backed Ducks32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Ducks25c75.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3720942.6%89 W · 120 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30e1…0400backed Utah74c74.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdeb6…3e06backed Utah73c73.86$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…7029backed Utah73c73.25$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47be…1141backed Utah73c72.96$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.63580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d37…f343backed Utah73c72.08$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.461442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Ducks28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b2f…1c71backed Utah74c70.23$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.26875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed Ducks28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.68627.9%24 W · 62 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d3d…ce68backed Utah74c68.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.681758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf64…8133backed Utah73c67.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9002…b95bbacked Ducks31c67.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa6…1286backed Utah69c67.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.97580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3e…9589backed Utah74c67.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.53425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7cd…7a8bbacked Utah73c66.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.874100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a17…0301backed Utah73c65.86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7139…f965backed Ducks28c62.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x219e…36a4backed Utah73c61.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e28…9bc8backed Utah73c59.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.09683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+48%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13de…0f8cbacked Utah73c58.52$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec1d…c32abacked Utah73c58.14$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc64b…657bbacked Ducks28c54.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7410…ffc6backed Ducks30c53.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb8…be62backed Ducks32c53.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.15032%16 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.