TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf061…2572

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT3842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Kings vs. Wildbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Lightningbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Bluesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Rangersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Capitals vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Oilers vs. Islandersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Red Wings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$12.49
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
Islanders vs. Kingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.58
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Botafogo (To Advance)backed Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Inter Miami beat FC Porto?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Palmeiras beat Al Ahly?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Juventus beat Al Ain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Will RB Salzburg beat Pachuca?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$58.33
Will Flamengo beat Esperance Sportive?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Benfica beat Boca Juniors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Will Botafogo beat Seattle Sounders?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Palmeiras beat FC Porto?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will PSG beat Atlético Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Inter Miami CF beat Al Ahly?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+61.6%+$18.47
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayern Munich vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.65
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.65
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Fulham win on 2025-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Fulham win on 2025-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Everton win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Will West Ham win on 2025-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will West Ham win on 2025-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Brighton win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+47.1%+$34.86
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.41
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$129.89
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$52.42
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-56.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tromsø IL vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$46.34
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Rangers win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FCSB win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-78.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+68.3%+$68.33
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+80.3%+$40.13
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
All 5 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-51.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Sam Altman arrested before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grêmio FBPA vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.