Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83fef6809c77594736233884fa9c7dc58d2b824ef633ead703133ceb784d6754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $485,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $543,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed No | 35c | 172,521$60,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,219.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes | 65c | 169,536$110,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,125.74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 51c | 33,981$17,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,520.43 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 49c | 30,775$14,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,972.54 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes | 52c | 17,082$8,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 48c | 16,477$7,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,933.95 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 52c | 15,819$8,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,593.33 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 56c | 15,640$8,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,810.24 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 49c | 14,275$6,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,952.12 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 50c | 14,193$7,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,083.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 71c | 13,670$9,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.71 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 11,829$6,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,690.26 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 51c | 10,846$5,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,314.53 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 10,364$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.99 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…3586backed Yes | 50c | 9,995$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 49c | 8,172$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.33 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…693fbacked Yes | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked No | 49c | 7,155$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -63%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 49c | 6,947$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.33 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 65c | 4,937$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.34 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 49c | 4,925$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 36c | 4,707$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.93 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 48c | 3,957$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.87 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 48c | 3,761$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.05 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 42c | 3,700$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.75 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 49c | 3,500$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 50c | 3,329$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.42 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 67c | 3,229$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.54 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.8 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 48c | 2,600$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 52c | 2,513$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.35 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…56eabacked Yes | 51c | 2,500$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 47c | 1,967$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.2 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 50c | 1,732$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.6 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 52c | 1,552$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.05 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 47c | 1,514$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.42 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 51c | 1,503$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.43 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 51c | 1,236$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.97 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 48c | 1,118$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.44 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 69c | 1,043$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 50c | 999.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 50c | 993.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 50c | 938.5$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.25 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 45c | 899.73$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…4b33backed No | 21c | 890.62$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5f…ce01backed No | 35c | 765.71$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yes | 51c | 748.64$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes | 52c | 712$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.76 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 49c | 699.99$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.99 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes | 67c | 680.33$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…f91ebacked Yes | 69c | 665.59$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 49c | 650.27$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.16 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…7f95backed Yes | 48c | 644.65$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 52c | 618.79$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.02 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked No | 49c | 616.12$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.9 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 49c | 576.12$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.3 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed No | 49c | 552.56$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…22b6backed Yes | 52c | 536.96$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 516.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 52c | 500$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 48c | 499.96$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc829…1b74backed No | 49c | 470.83$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 49c | 468$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…66acbacked No | 50c | 452$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…1484backed Yes | 51c | 435.1$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…a455backed Yes | 53c | 417.52$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 53c | 410.28$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.44 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…7818backed Yes | 52c | 401.08$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8752backed No | 50c | 396.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 51c | 388.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.39 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…6960backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Yes | 51c | 370$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 49c | 350$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…caeebacked No | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 70c | 348.47$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 52c | 348.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 52c | 347.84$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.44 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 66c | 333$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 48c | 324.48$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.75 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes | 66c | 307.11$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.