Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cca0cd4d6c510986659a750acddf47e39713c08866f7a3c63c8dd5bdc9a5065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 10c | 20,039$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.89 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2e…8836backed Yes | 25c | 6,154$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef2…1470backed Yes | 27c | 5,457$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 75c | 5,345$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.29 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 76c | 4,307$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.56 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 23c | 4,200$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.04 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Yes | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 3,600$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 75c | 3,420$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.19 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 24c | 3,409$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.07 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 12c | 2,678$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.76 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 80c | 2,629$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.58 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…8b6fbacked Yes | 25c | 2,400$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 78c | 2,400$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 13c | 2,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked No | 78c | 2,209$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Yes | 22c | 2,199$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.87 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 2,150$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.26 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 24c | 1,998$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.42 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked No | 77c | 1,947$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.81 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,879$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.23 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Yes | 29c | 1,745$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…3998backed Yes | 25c | 1,539$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 75c | 1,453$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.3 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 76c | 1,213$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.49 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x624c…5595backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 76c | 1,000$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 933.31$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.08 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…77f7backed Yes | 15c | 832.8$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…9a3abacked Yes | 24c | 824.54$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…6d96backed Yes | 25c | 806.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…4b33backed Yes | 9c | 800$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…14b0backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 24c | 735.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 10c | 689.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 75c | 630.99$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.75 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 77c | 586$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9de…96d8backed Yes | 18c | 550.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…cf99backed Yes | 23c | 479.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f9…6d62backed Yes | 15c | 472.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 25c | 460$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…0a77backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3e…939abacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 70c | 406$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 18c | 400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…9717backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…4d7dbacked Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 23c | 365.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 74c | 357.96$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 19c | 350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…3058backed Yes | 15c | 336.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 76c | 307$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 26c | 305.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8149…c8a0backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 76c | 292.98$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…6a4fbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…bd9dbacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…5157backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed No | 77c | 259.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…3e01backed No | 77c | 238.84$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 77c | 210$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…06cbbacked Yes | 11c | 209.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…1524backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7936…9306backed Yes | 15c | 208$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Yes | 24c | 203.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes | 10c | 193.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0860…d30fbacked Yes | 23c | 183.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff37…1486backed Yes | 19c | 183.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…0ae0backed Yes | 18c | 172.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…ad3abacked Yes | 20c | 171.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c15…fc45backed Yes | 25c | 166.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 16c | 155$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…3aa6backed No | 77c | 150.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2871…5d0ebacked Yes | 30c | 150.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…e95fbacked Yes | 21c | 149.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc38b…0b61backed Yes | 19c | 145.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…d3b3backed Yes | 25c | 144$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…5ae5backed Yes | 28c | 141.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes | 24c | 141.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…dabdbacked Yes | 15c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…588dbacked Yes | 20c | 137.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…c508backed No | 77c | 132.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?Yes won
- Will Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.