TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87e3…cf99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$83.2
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.72
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.02
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.22
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$49.35
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.96
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.6
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$49.48
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.92
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$100.13
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+71.3%+$209.95
Colts vs. Titansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$29.45
Steelers vs. Patriotsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$154.01
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+231%+$126.66
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$184.38
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+91.4%+$333.83
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$101.21
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+89.9%+$147.5
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.59
Lions vs. Packersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.15
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$132.77
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$143.55
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$100.14
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.9
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$157.5
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28.08
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$50.19
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.69
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+119.5%+$219.88
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$122.98
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.03
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$99.12
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+119.8%+$99.29
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.92
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+106.9%+$456.56
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$390.74
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.57
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Citrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$508.99
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+208%+$73.57
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+233.3%+$41.99
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+249.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+57.2%+$245.75
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$26.16
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$346.41
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$50.06
All 4 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+147.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+171%+$70.33
Mariners vs. Tigers Series Winnerbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+123.8%+$153.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.07
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+589.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+589.7%+$171
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.