MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Tigers Series Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8951805101c83ab715aa8de40991d1e90d09751da1b8a7693f99214fe0d676af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78d1…2ff7backed Tigers | 50c | 20,150$10,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,075 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…338dbacked Mariners | 50c | 20,150$10,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,075 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.99 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Tigers | 38c | 18,368$6,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,979.81 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 44c | 16,100$7,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,023.29 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tigers | 49c | 5,412$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.17 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Tigers | 55c | 4,514$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.34 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Mariners | 49c | 3,952$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.44 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Tigers | 48c | 1,797$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.85 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 61c | 552$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Mariners | 47c | 392$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…8ec0backed Mariners | 46c | 300$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…bdebbacked Mariners | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Mariners | 74c | 280$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…cf99backed Mariners | 45c | 277.2$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…303fbacked Mariners | 49c | 241.71$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.42per pick | 43cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…b43ebacked Mariners | 46c | 205.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…e33abacked Mariners | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers | 38c | 191.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…cf8fbacked Tigers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tigers | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…b1bbbacked Tigers | 45c | 156.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…1880backed Mariners | 73c | 103.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Tigers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…93ecbacked Tigers | 55c | 91.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Mariners | 45c | 90.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tigers | 34c | 83.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Tigers | 30c | 82.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Tigers | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0b…5df6backed Tigers | 56c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Mariners | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Mariners | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a8…db3dbacked Mariners | 70c | 54.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ff…0d9ebacked Tigers | 74c | 54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…d411backed Tigers | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked Mariners | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…852abacked Mariners | 45c | 44.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Tigers | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…2e56backed Mariners | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffed…8b46backed Mariners | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked Mariners | 59c | 22.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mariners | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.