NFL · resolved market
Colts vs. Titans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a72c4de1ae9224eaf23d19ed8710a9b569bcc18b872e5b0812d4e931e36b837
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coltsof Colts, Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,610,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,654,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,610,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Titans | 31c | 1,337,092$411,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411,087.55 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Colts | 69c | 471,109$325,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,046.13 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Colts | 69c | 136,742$93,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,910.9 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Colts | 70c | 107,502$75,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,250.74 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Colts | 69c | 100,036$69,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,511.14 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Colts | 69c | 96,800$66,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,008 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Colts | 69c | 75,000$51,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,250 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Colts | 70c | 69,468$48,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,900.23 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Colts | 70c | 65,000$45,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,500 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Colts | 69c | 50,000$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,500 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Titans | 34c | 50,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,999.94 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Colts | 69c | 47,445$32,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,857.5 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Colts | 69c | 40,000$27,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Colts | 70c | 33,429$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,028.57 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Colts | 69c | 18,103$12,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,612.01 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Colts | 69c | 15,000$10,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colts | 65c | 13,670$8,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.91 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Colts | 69c | 13,666$9,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,236.46 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Colts | 70c | 11,350$7,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Colts | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Titans | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.95 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Titans | 4c | 9,840$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.66 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Titans | 31c | 9,684$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.61 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Titans | 31c | 9,677$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Colts | 66c | 5,731$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.56 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Colts | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colts | 69c | 4,953$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.32 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Titans | 33c | 4,573$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.95 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Titans | 6c | 4,348$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.9 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Colts | 68c | 4,012$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.07 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Colts | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Titans | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Titans | 30c | 3,889$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.81 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Titans | 33c | 3,070$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Colts | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…d601backed Titans | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Titans | 4c | 2,785$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Titans | 1c | 2,654$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Titans | 33c | 2,544$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.57 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Colts | 69c | 2,174$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.91 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Colts | 69c | 2,109$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.67 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Titans | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.95 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Titans | 4c | 1,946$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Colts | 70c | 1,844$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.2 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Colts | 60c | 1,814$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.5 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Titans | 5c | 1,700$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Titans | 2c | 1,651$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Titans | 30c | 1,588$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.26 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Titans | 32c | 1,543$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…2d2dbacked Colts | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Titans | 30c | 1,500$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.98 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c55…ef1abacked Colts | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Colts | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Titans | 8c | 1,313$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Colts | 70c | 1,250$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Titans | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Titans | 18c | 1,083$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.59 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b5…e04fbacked Titans | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Titans | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Titans | 31c | 999.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Titans | 13c | 921.5$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Titans | 7c | 849.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Titans | 4c | 798.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Titans | 33c | 779.02$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.08 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Colts | 61c | 748.02$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.73 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Titans | 1c | 732.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Titans | 37c | 728.64$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.6 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Colts | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Colts | 70c | 713.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.13 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Colts | 62c | 700$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Titans | 37c | 647$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.39 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Colts | 67c | 643.41$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.32 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Titans | 33c | 609.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Colts | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Titans | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Titans | 19c | 556.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Colts | 60c | 505$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Titans | 38c | 500.23$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.09 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Colts | 63c | 482.01$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Colts | 69c | 471$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.01 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Colts | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Colts | 68c | 450$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Colts | 69c | 425.3$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Titans | 3c | 385$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Colts | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…df41backed Colts | 71c | 376$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Colts | 70c | 356.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Colts | 71c | 350$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Titans | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320b…1a55backed Titans | 38c | 338$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Titans | 11c | 332.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Titans | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Colts | 69c | 320.72$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Colts | 68c | 309.97$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.19 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Colts | 66c | 304.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.05 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Colts | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Colts | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Titans | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Colts | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…9d84backed Colts | 68c | 295.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colts vs. Titansthis page
- IND vs. TEN: O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: IND (-3.5)IND won
- Spread: IND (-4.5)IND won
- Spread: IND (-6.5)IND won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.