Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x145ff557ed79e625c505ba4119dbf10642e0990004ea51f690b35a18ebb8edb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,688,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,819,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,688,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 48c | 416,053$199,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198,999.54 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed Yes | 50c | 400,735$200,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,367.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 53c | 316,525$166,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,311.18 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 51c | 244,823$125,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,546.69 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed No | 51c | 198,518$100,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,134 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed No | 53c | 95,000$50,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,650 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed No | 50c | 70,700$35,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,350 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Yes | 50c | 40,000$19,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,987.36 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 57c | 37,134$21,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,826.85 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 49c | 35,252$17,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.83 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 48c | 28,118$13,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,496.41 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed No | 50c | 24,286$12,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,143 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…cbf1backed Yes | 49c | 20,410$10,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.88 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 50c | 15,286$7,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,642.99 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 50c | 14,301$7,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,142.61 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 43c | 13,708$5,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,929 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 50c | 12,169$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,029.79 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 51c | 11,653$5,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,942.99 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 52c | 11,111$5,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.28 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…f509backed Yes | 29c | 10,420$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.98 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a307backed No | 52c | 9,700$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,655.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 48c | 9,240$4,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,434.97 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.98 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 49c | 5,886$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.65 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 53c | 5,555$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.85 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd070…a978backed Yes | 20c | 5,200$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 68c | 5,076$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.56 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 77c | 4,608$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.13 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 51c | 4,608$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 49c | 4,605$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.65 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 51c | 4,275$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.88 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 48c | 4,163$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 50c | 4,160$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 48c | 4,000$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.95 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 51c | 3,994$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…91b4backed Yes | 17c | 3,574$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 51c | 3,300$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.97 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 34c | 2,914$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 53c | 2,217$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.98 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 49c | 2,039$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.97 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da1…d3bebacked Yes | 51c | 1,944$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 48c | 1,838$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.92 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 49c | 1,817$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.31 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 52c | 1,778$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.54 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 50c | 1,719$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.62 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…cf06backed Yes | 5c | 1,696$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 76c | 1,431$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.93 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 49c | 1,395$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde00…6879backed Yes | 48c | 1,360$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 48c | 1,328$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.74 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 53c | 1,301$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.66 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 49c | 1,267$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.39 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 20c | 1,224$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed No | 50c | 1,218$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.05 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed No | 52c | 1,121$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 26c | 1,080$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Yes | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…8ca8backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…de86backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2441…a2f5backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…e99ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 65c | 980.37$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.26 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 52c | 954.78$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.54 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…2851backed No | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…ed67backed No | 50c | 850$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f67…03fcbacked Yes | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 52c | 799.98$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ee…6f8fbacked No | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6e…1e63backed Yes | 51c | 724.25$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…ddc3backed Yes | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 44c | 688.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 50c | 680.22$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.