Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd84038d257ee2be579e71661823d8f4978e4f54cb566fe31fd4ee5a353052787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $796,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $806,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $796,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 494 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed No | 50c | 378,692$188,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189,955.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 50c | 117,742$59,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,270.81 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 50c | 85,000$42,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,500 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 73c | 63,964$46,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,064.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 50c | 46,555$23,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,277.33 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 74c | 37,622$27,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,781.67 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes | 50c | 35,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -63%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 32,480$16,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,550.76 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed Yes | 26c | 30,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 47c | 25,784$12,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,052.91 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 50c | 21,597$10,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,739.61 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 75c | 21,343$15,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,343.38 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.12 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbadd…2564backed Yes | 25c | 19,930$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 51c | 18,172$9,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,287.72 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Yes | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500.17 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 35c | 14,187$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,922.4 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 50c | 14,168$7,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,083.95 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 32c | 14,139$4,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.63 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 64c | 13,760$8,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994.94 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 53c | 12,946$6,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.27 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 27c | 11,000$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 74c | 10,911$8,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.71 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Yes | 27c | 8,737$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.09 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 53c | 8,447$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,466.29 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140a…ebf3backed Yes | 27c | 7,381$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Yes | 25c | 7,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 33c | 7,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 6,944$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.31 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 6,499$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.74 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 5,711$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.67 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 26c | 4,615$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 75c | 4,321$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.12 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 27c | 4,311$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Yes | 25c | 4,200$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 4,100$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 27c | 4,046$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.48 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yes | 59c | 3,506$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 74c | 3,500$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.99 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.33 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 25c | 3,324$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Yes | 51c | 3,316$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 60c | 3,269$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.71 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 3,084$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.27 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 55c | 3,021$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.15 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 25c | 2,925$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…f7b2backed Yes | 61c | 2,654$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c96…9685backed No | 75c | 2,554$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 27c | 2,525$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…e42bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,515$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 24c | 2,500$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.22 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…fcb2backed No | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b10…c8c1backed Yes | 55c | 2,447$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 26c | 2,308$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…c83fbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.87 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…e14ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,795$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…d78dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,706$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 61c | 1,637$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…60dabacked Yes | 27c | 1,499$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…4dc2backed No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 73c | 1,262$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 70c | 1,249$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.7 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 20c | 1,163$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…e830backed Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked No | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 75c | 1,121$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.29 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked No | 49c | 1,095$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.39 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 72c | 1,006$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.55 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4d…912bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked No | 75c | 1,000$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +186.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed No | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 25c | 990$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.4 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…a3fbbacked Yes | 54c | 986.9$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 42c | 872.55$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.45 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 74c | 869.72$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.13 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed No | 75c | 869.05$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.49 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed No | 75c | 862$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Yes | 26c | 850.69$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 839.98$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.76 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…ede8backed Yes | 61c | 825.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.