Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20876dee943c60ab754a3bfcfef939e06c2d4ee40ae6530c48298bce98b074a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 31c | 7,080$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,880.29 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 9c | 6,551$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.63 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…3a85backed Yes | 25c | 6,002$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,501.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 68c | 4,338$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.63 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 60c | 4,220$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.45 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9093…b928backed Yes | 25c | 4,002$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,001.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…d0d0backed No | 75c | 4,001$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yes | 26c | 3,592$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.31 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3261…da8cbacked No | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 3,147$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.19 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed No | 75c | 3,117$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.86 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 51c | 2,946$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.63 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 2,808$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.24 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f5…d984backed No | 75c | 2,665$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 40c | 2,193$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.11 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 74c | 2,007$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.18 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 1,970$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.14 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 1,969$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.22 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 28c | 1,949$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,580$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.86 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 27c | 1,521$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.25 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 68c | 1,491$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.76 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 27c | 1,156$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.2 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 36c | 1,149$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.64 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 37c | 1,100$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes | 29c | 965.72$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.66 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.54 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 25c | 827.69$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.69 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 69c | 800.93$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.64 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 68c | 690$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.2 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 29c | 682.93$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.03 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…c83fbacked Yes | 29c | 666$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 28c | 632.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 575.74$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.84 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 26c | 568.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.31 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…e830backed Yes | 27c | 558.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes | 71c | 516.49$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.74 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 78c | 476.44$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.62 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 412$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.1 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 73c | 390$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.12 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…517abacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f09…7884backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…2642backed Yes | 27c | 367.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba1…6fa7backed No | 74c | 351.36$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 24c | 345.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.43 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4d…912bbacked Yes | 26c | 345$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 30c | 333$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Yes | 26c | 312$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 33c | 303.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d3d6backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…f436backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 28c | 300$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 285$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 25c | 260$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…1ab6backed Yes | 32c | 257.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 73c | 257$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.61 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 28c | 250.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 26c | 246$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 25c | 233.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed Yes | 28c | 214.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…7e09backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 28c | 196.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…f78abacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Yes | 26c | 176.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 28c | 176.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 29c | 174.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.48 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…ced9backed Yes | 29c | 171.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 59c | 165.09$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…c1e6backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba72…143bbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…395abacked Yes | 33c | 161.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…9e98backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…f778backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 29c | 138.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e1…aaaabacked Yes | 27c | 130.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…f1dabacked Yes | 31c | 127.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 72c | 123.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…5679backed Yes | 31c | 119.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd938…f16bbacked No | 73c | 118.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 68c | 113.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.