TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab7e…9e98

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$133.23
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$725
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$143.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$708.19
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$249.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+257.1%+$158.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$129.98
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.5
Will Manchester United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$708.5
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$526.39
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$158.4
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$204.6
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+40.8%+$58
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+84.7%+$897.52
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.86
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.41
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.77
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.22
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$139.4
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$92.5
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$174.9
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$185.6
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$224.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$152.57
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.98
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$1,049.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida State vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$325
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valkyries vs. Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$56.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VEO 4 released by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.