NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9c6124c9af9cac17dc7819f661c8ce3cab814939508cab95149ac91f8ccce63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $827,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $911,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $827,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 972 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Wild | 56c | 132,386$74,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,249.78 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kraken | 44c | 65,000$28,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,599.99 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kraken | 35c | 53,390$18,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,577.74 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wild | 55c | 26,656$14,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,995.16 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 46c | 26,472$12,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,140.96 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Wild | 55c | 18,183$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,182.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Wild | 55c | 16,866$9,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,632.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Wild | 53c | 16,478$8,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,744.72 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken | 44c | 15,040$6,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,614.7 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Wild | 53c | 14,192$7,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,673.82 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Kraken | 44c | 13,635$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.4 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Kraken | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Kraken | 49c | 9,322$4,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Wild | 54c | 8,600$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,956 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kraken | 44c | 8,008$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.52 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kraken | 44c | 7,500$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 30c | 7,416$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.83 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Kraken | 26c | 6,942$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Kraken | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Kraken | 44c | 5,521$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.24 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…cee3backed Kraken | 44c | 5,500$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kraken | 44c | 5,104$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.86 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kraken | 46c | 4,926$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.66 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324b…3768backed Wild | 55c | 4,808$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…b552backed Kraken | 45c | 4,798$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 54c | 4,599$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.04 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Kraken | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kraken | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.95 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…d204backed Wild | 56c | 3,800$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Wild | 55c | 3,623$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.36 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Wild | 56c | 3,591$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.29 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Wild | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed Kraken | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…ad03backed Wild | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraken | 38c | 3,396$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.9 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Kraken | 44c | 3,375$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Wild | 62c | 3,247$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.22 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…1e8bbacked Kraken | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Kraken | 45c | 2,843$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.35 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wild | 57c | 2,807$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.02 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kraken | 44c | 2,722$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.85 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 56c | 2,554$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.76 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Wild | 54c | 2,414$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Kraken | 49c | 2,254$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.6 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Kraken | 44c | 2,222$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kraken | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Kraken | 44c | 2,082$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.24 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kraken | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Wild | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Wild | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kraken | 43c | 1,959$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.4 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Kraken | 47c | 1,943$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.2 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wild | 53c | 1,901$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.73 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Wild | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 44c | 1,899$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.69 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Wild | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Kraken | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 44c | 1,653$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.94 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wild | 52c | 1,632$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.36 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 44c | 1,606$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.7 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…d9b6backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0136…dad5backed Wild | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa86e…9bcdbacked Wild | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…0513backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…dfe4backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…3a80backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24dd…0bbebacked Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x539a…ecc6backed Wild | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb7…86bcbacked Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…cce1backed Wild | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997e…3074backed Wild | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…6b57backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -79%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb47…31e5backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e7…9bccbacked Wild | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1f…5d78backed Wild | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…3f9ebacked Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14b…bd40backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…24d8backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92ad…3230backed Wild | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…e2a7backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…b3c0backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…1df1backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…11c3backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…b3e4backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x049f…d518backed Wild | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a60…3362backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…1589backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccfb…2faabacked Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…f75fbacked Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…2500backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc25c…7dc7backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x333a…bf35backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…339bbacked Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…49d4backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…1152backed Wild | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…4947backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf4…77dcbacked Wild | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0318…687fbacked Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…9d75backed Kraken | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Krakenthis page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.