NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76be13a32543f7a588d41149356d5c4bb367f1b9552bae50abc0fd13c935dd9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 52c | 90,436$47,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,409.1 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 48c | 55,148$26,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,471.04 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 7,892$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.16 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 6,504$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.92 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 47c | 4,440$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.93 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 3,567$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.09 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Over | 48c | 3,221$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 2,050$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 48c | 1,779$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.92 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 69c | 1,465$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.59 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 48c | 722.42$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.76 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 531.19$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 47c | 531.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 2c | 508.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 441.65$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.24 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7263…9422backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4475…0d28backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…328dbacked Under | 53c | 242.7$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 183.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 48c | 136.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Under | 53c | 130.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Under | 53c | 116.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…6089backed Over | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…c457backed Under | 53c | 113.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Under | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 53c | 88.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Under | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…4f40backed Under | 53c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Over | 48c | 52.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2aecbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…eb6cbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7a…d321backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 36.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed Under | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…62c7backed Over | 48c | 32.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. KrakenWild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.