MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ef953f6f89eafbd31998a80a1906e3c67106b664117af874545a7e3ceeba2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $378,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 54,000$30,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,779.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 34,679$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 32,735$14,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,658.95 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 31,915$14,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,872.34 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 25,050$10,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,278.26 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 21,583$11,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,066.16 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 13,793$7,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,862.07 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 13,071$6,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,449.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 9,180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 9,092$5,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.34 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…5771backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 6,767$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 6,507$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.95 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 6,455$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.48 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 5,824$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.13 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 4,923$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.88 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.45 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 4,429$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.91 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 4,110$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.53 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 3,690$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.5 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 3,600$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.64 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 3,576$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.1 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.94 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 3,008$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.47 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 3,000$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.32 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,907$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.98 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 2,876$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.4 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.7 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 2,782$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.66 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 2,498$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.95 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 2,491$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 2,481$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.81 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 2,137$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 2,003$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 2,000$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 2,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,984$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.71 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 1,881$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.71 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 1,825$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.13 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,757$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.65 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,736$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.91 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.55 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 1,697$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.19 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 1,685$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.3 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 1,675$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 1,617$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.48 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,492$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.28 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 1,359$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.65 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 1,192$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.32 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,121$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 1,092$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.32 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,069$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.6 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 1,032$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.26 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,022$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.82 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,005$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.85 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 1,000$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.37 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 999.27$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.74 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 994$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.52 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 929.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd192…d266backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 911.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 888.79$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.8 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…d29dbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 809.95$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 771.57$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 730.9$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 717.52$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.63 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…9aafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 708.93$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Washington Nationals | 70c | 684.48$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.23 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 585.35$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.06 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 570$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.9 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 560.42$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 555$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.21 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 525.35$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.91 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 520.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 518.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.74 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 515.58$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.88 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 513.23$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.68 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…3209backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 506.38$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 501.39$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Washington Nationals | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 481.52$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.72 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 480.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.81 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 451.76$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 439$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 427$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.93 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 426$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.82 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 420.45$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.45 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…57e8backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 341.36$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 340.53$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.95 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 330$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.