MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe219aa5a0761cc87ade41e91fd025942008cd84de8e97deb99f597f0e26fa06d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Houston Astros, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 28,999$13,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,919.47 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 27,734$14,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,163.31 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 17,465$9,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,764.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 49c | 14,931$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.14 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Houston Astros | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.82 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 6,088$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.08 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 6,006$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.09 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 4,879$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.4 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 34c | 4,848$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.46 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 4,823$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.18 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 4,339$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.22 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 30c | 3,349$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.75 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 3,217$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.46 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 3,147$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.61 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Houston Astros | 22c | 2,654$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.62 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 8c | 2,284$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0be…caa2backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 2,215$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 2,005$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,571$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.59 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Houston Astros | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 29c | 1,284$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.78 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Minnesota Twins | 73c | 1,051$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.76 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,026$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.47 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,012$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.71 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 12c | 1,000$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 985.67$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.18 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Houston Astros | 48c | 967.04$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.18 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Houston Astros | 11c | 869.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 26c | 818.31$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.86 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19c…0e99backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 810.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aad…16c3backed Houston Astros | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Houston Astros | 7c | 768.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Houston Astros | 6c | 694.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 20c | 692.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Minnesota Twins | 74c | 680$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.59 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 617.27$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.81 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…8cf4backed Houston Astros | 48c | 590.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…0c84backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 579.76$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Houston Astros | 31c | 529.41$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.17 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Houston Astros | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 500$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 462.98$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.05 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9622…6fefbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 456$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 450.25$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Houston Astros | 4c | 446.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…d4a7backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 436.7$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…1098backed Houston Astros | 30c | 436.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Houston Astros | 28c | 421.93$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 419.1$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.17 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Houston Astros | 50c | 403.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Houston Astros | 44c | 401$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.42 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…e9f3backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 380$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…8288backed Houston Astros | 49c | 379.61$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 353.06$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 352.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Houston Astros | 8c | 330.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Houston Astros | 49c | 325.77$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.63 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Houston Astros | 65c | 307.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 304.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros | 11c | 300$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Houston Astros | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Minnesota Twins | 79c | 286.25$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f29…768fbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 282.15$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d4…6999backed Houston Astros | 49c | 279.27$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e75…27edbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 274.12$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d95…985abacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 274.04$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…59acbacked Houston Astros | 7c | 243$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 240.41$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…d29dbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 233.43$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Minnesota Twins | 73c | 228.02$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 208.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Houston Astros | 15c | 207.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c86…4a0abacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 205.65$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…17cebacked Houston Astros | 49c | 203.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…2194backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 202.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 48c | 200.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…701abacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 192.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…e796backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 176.09$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…9e98backed Houston Astros | 49c | 173$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8d…fc07backed Houston Astros | 49c | 170.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dac…11bfbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 168.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d0…842dbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 166.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Houston Astros | 14c | 161.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 9c | 149.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 261 | 48.3%126 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.