MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x111d7c5ef6609482f263d24854b9a898841e92bba94440b10a567188dc24bc24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 47c | 34,533$16,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,168.18 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 27,598$14,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,619.22 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 54c | 14,783$7,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800.05 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 69c | 13,899$9,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,577.42 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Over | 46c | 9,502$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 31c | 4,409$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.97 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 33c | 4,309$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.1 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 31c | 3,630$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.67 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Over | 46c | 3,483$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 3,231$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.16 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 32c | 3,205$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 33c | 2,960$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.6 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 49c | 2,071$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 2,036$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.79 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 67c | 2,001$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.27 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 62c | 1,492$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.61 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 1,330$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.1 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Under | 31c | 1,295$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.71 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 31c | 1,288$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.82 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 36c | 1,237$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.61 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 52c | 1,202$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.96 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Under | 51c | 1,188$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.42 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 49c | 1,134$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.52 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 50c | 1,065$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.1 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 52c | 901.34$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.65 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 38c | 778.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.62 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 661.91$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.91 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 634.41$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 36c | 553.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Under | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 384.89$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.78 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 52c | 367.67$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.48 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 50c | 302.35$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.06 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 298$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 79c | 270$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 77c | 256.81$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 243.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 57c | 233.83$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 55c | 231$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Over | 33c | 224.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 39c | 212.56$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.66 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 45c | 194.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 70c | 190$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 29c | 188$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 51c | 186.35$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 54c | 183.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 23c | 159.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 50c | 148.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 71c | 143.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 56c | 124.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 33c | 124.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 119.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 56c | 105.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 54c | 104.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 54c | 103.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 36c | 99.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Under | 50c | 96.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 96.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…499abacked Over | 72c | 87.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 53c | 83.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2835…0ff7backed Under | 38c | 72.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 60c | 68.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 31c | 65.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 31c | 65.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 31c | 65.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 31c | 65.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 53c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Under | 56c | 64.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 32c | 62.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 77c | 60.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 55c | 56.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Over | 68c | 54.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 39c | 51.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…1dd3backed Under | 40c | 48.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 50c | 44.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | -23.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 37c | 41.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 37c | 41.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 68c | 31.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota TwinsMinnesota Twins won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.