TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Kings, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,221 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 660 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings9c14,455$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.971,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Kings45c13,766$6,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,250.7722458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Kings17c6,982$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22016848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Trail Blazers53c6,879$3,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,233.2834645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Trail Blazers45c5,677$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,095.323948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d1…fc97backed Kings8c5,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.954440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Kings1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Kings27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35025536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kings36c3,644$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.321,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Trail Blazers57c3,600$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.9845348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings10c3,333$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.782,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Kings16c3,175$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49565218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c4a…74ddbacked Kings2c2,536$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013546.7%63 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Trail Blazers58c2,148$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.227142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Kings47c2,132$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009445.7%43 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Trail Blazers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0004951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Kings37c1,984$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.9747448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Trail Blazers55c1,981$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.873348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab7e…9e98backed Trail Blazers54c1,957$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.524100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1293…e575backed Kings46c1,950$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8971435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x512b…c0c3backed Kings47c1,883$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.840%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf624…acc7backed Trail Blazers54c1,882$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.06875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Kings17c1,763$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Kings35c1,719$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers50c1,633$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.091,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Trail Blazers62c1,594$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.6344459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Kings49c1,398$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.966934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd421…7155backed Kings36c1,163$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4206142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Kings42c1,097$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.063540%14 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Kings42c1,091$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.2247751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Kings40c1,088$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.0523646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings44c1,027$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.8673647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Trail Blazers46c1,000$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.463458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e58…f73bbacked Trail Blazers56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4405740.4%23 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Kings24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5f5…a33fbacked Kings45c939.2$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.13732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Kings51c822.02$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.1585347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Kings38c801.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4613040%52 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Kings44c780.53$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.126749.8%133 W · 134 L+17.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Trail Blazers67c775.71$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.911,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers58c753.85$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.583,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed Kings18c749$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.42263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Trail Blazers57c745$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.3526149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings34c702$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.392,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e97…f7f3backed Kings50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c8…a40dbacked Trail Blazers51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings9c668.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9667911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be4…f39cbacked Kings35c656.06$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.621650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings43c642$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.0657760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17453134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Kings11c513.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.517960.8%48 W · 31 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Kings34c500$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.033234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Kings45c429.8$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.942,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…9081backed Kings51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings44c365.18$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x877e…038ebacked Trail Blazers56c359.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.731030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Trail Blazers57c315.79$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.795156.9%29 W · 22 L+8.0wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+48%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kings33c313$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.361,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Trail Blazers68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.472770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42d7…e4c4backed Trail Blazers58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37a4…5aa5backed Kings46c287.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ee…700bbacked Kings35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012830.5%39 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Kings43c284.45$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3111755.6%65 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kings43c262.07$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11238132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Trail Blazers77c258.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5917769.5%123 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980d…985fbacked Kings8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207230.6%22 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Kings37c240$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.848137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Trail Blazers51c238.79$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1159743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe08f…05bdbacked Kings42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Trail Blazers46c237.48$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.242254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+53.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb69…c1aabacked Trail Blazers57c236.42$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6c…42b2backed Trail Blazers42c235.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.549154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Kings43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers52c229.49$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3688…b071backed Trail Blazers57c228.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Kings57c225.32$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4325248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfab9…fc47backed Trail Blazers54c224.15$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b56…ee89backed Kings23c220$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Kings46c218.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b9…37cfbacked Kings44c204.55$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3575…8af2backed Kings42c200.11$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b6e…5f91backed Kings51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x117d…7010backed Kings51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b6…6595backed Trail Blazers49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc822…d1bfbacked Trail Blazers49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f3…a721backed Kings51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dfb…3943backed Trail Blazers49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a0…f7a9backed Kings51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7767…c984backed Kings51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x49af…c3eabacked Trail Blazers49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1536…d8cebacked Trail Blazers49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d87…7c90backed Kings51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ddb…07d2backed Kings51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd35…1ab1backed Kings51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0039…3576backed Kings51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0622…8f43backed Kings51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ac…9105backed Kings51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a9e…54a8backed Kings51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd1…f50fbacked Kings51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.