La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-09-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63871e5d1539b0d16b85007d1aad4fb9adf46211ea9cd5fc5c912cd08348b887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Yes | 6c | 17,732$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 18c | 12,341$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.53 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 9c | 10,843$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 6c | 8,653$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.18 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 4,170$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.89 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 80c | 3,600$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 9c | 3,298$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.49 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 23c | 2,543$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.79 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 6c | 2,076$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.32 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 20c | 1,773$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.6 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,643$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…e29dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,117$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…395abacked Yes | 1c | 1,071$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…9e98backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…89dabacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 8c | 999.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 5c | 843.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 7c | 820.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 23c | 736.25$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c95…ebecbacked Yes | 8c | 700$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 7c | 686.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 16c | 620.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…d76abacked Yes | 21c | 481.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 7c | 424$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…68fcbacked No | 76c | 418$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…766bbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 7c | 261.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…dea8backed Yes | 20c | 245.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 8c | 220$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf3…cd8fbacked Yes | 22c | 216.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 75c | 215$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed No | 75c | 205.24$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…6b38backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 80c | 181.74$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…e3f5backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…c0cdbacked Yes | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked No | 79c | 128$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5670…bd63backed Yes | 21c | 79.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…8a99backed No | 79c | 53.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…22bdbacked Yes | 20c | 50.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4c…cefdbacked Yes | 25c | 45.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0860…d30fbacked No | 79c | 17.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-09-25?this page
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?Yes won
- Will Real Oviedo vs. Barcelona end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.