La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo vs. Barcelona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ea10afea629a3f9405a24563a845c1fa3104b09018a5103b67252d52e3ab369
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 14,340$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.2 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…40cabacked Yes | 12c | 10,010$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 22c | 1,889$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.35 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 1,109$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.09 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…d3d6backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 32c | 789.47$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.63 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes | 28c | 739.42$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 71c | 702.56$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 70c | 702.03$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.61 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Yes | 29c | 628.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 13c | 500.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 7c | 454$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes | 27c | 366.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…8ed0backed Yes | 31c | 336.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 78c | 324.12$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 13c | 296.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 73c | 274$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 13c | 261.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…7735backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…dea8backed Yes | 29c | 169.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 30c | 166.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 37c | 157.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 32c | 156.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…307bbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 30c | 146.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642f…31fcbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 29c | 127$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf3…cd8fbacked Yes | 31c | 120.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…0b31backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 45.5%121 W · 145 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ab…fc85backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…4d8abacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…c742backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b7…2c8ebacked Yes | 33c | 32.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo vs. Barcelona end in a draw?this page
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?Yes won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-09-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.