TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95d1…817e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$88.94
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$92.78
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+337.5%+$67.5
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Burnley FC vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Tigre win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will CF América win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Atlético San Luis vs. CF América end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Will Club León FC vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Puebla win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will Fluminense FC vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$47.27
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$189
Will Mallorca win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Getafe vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Will Girona vs. Espanyol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Oviedo vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Athletic Club vs. Girona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-81%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+358.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$35.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Augsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.