TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c51,402$21,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,219.346,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No59c50,000$29,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,499.973644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes43c45,000$19,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,649.9931947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No57c40,800$23,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,2562941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes43c9,051$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,115.6327235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes42c8,516$3,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,977.371,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No58c7,208$4,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,180.839450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No58c6,500$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,77035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No44c3,440$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.132037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes41c3,008$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.596357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No59c3,000$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76732158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71048150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No57c2,178$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.4479650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No59c2,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.9740046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No58c1,999$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.6111838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes41c1,951$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.224348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes70c1,710$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.528736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes77c1,348$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5635758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Yes42c1,199$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.022030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed No59c1,128$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.274353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No58c1,012$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.9610849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f4…ad1bbacked Yes46c921.43$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c789.66$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.144,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Yes70c748.78$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.634339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No50c728.32$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9151542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84eb…869dbacked No31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick35cpaid+74.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No2c690$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.820744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No58c680$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.3283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes69c610.19$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.167042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No55c524$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.215049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes43c514.79$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.7922932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No60c494.29$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.5714854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.829044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No57c480.7$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27410752.3%56 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1913149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed No57c475.28$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No58c449.96$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.976225.8%16 W · 46 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No58c448.22$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9710455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23640953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes42c356.18$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7720027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.845841.4%24 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No57c311.93$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8156453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Yes46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17713656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No58c299.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9921839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No57c295.88$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.657560%45 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked No34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No54c290$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.627454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No59c277.81$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9117958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4392…c95dbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.93842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Yes42c240$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.23043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No59c213$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.674946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No33c205$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.530666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes42c195.24$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2410545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed Yes41c170$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.32030%6 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes76c163.62$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6219336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1087…8f8dbacked No59c160.02$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d3b…4253backed No7c157.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed No50c152.53$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.271752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No58c136$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes43c127.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9114156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No52c126.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1225545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No58c124.14$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7229458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes41c122$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.982433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x582b…20afbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.953452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.283132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes47c106.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.499736.1%35 W · 62 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes36c100.14$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.144841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.59150.5%46 W · 45 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5815037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95d1…817ebacked No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked No28c99.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.564528.9%13 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca28…6241backed Yes42c96.45$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb671…8349backed Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes42c94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5236845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No60c91.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5516955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes42c88.1$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.112545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No59c83.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.513560%21 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Yes42c78.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.573661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes40c77.1$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2619735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yes42c76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.084334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes41c75.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5713342.1%56 W · 77 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes42c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.58631.4%27 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No58c73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3410044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a6…b9c7backed Yes42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.43540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked No59c67.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.62254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba2…2803backed Yes46c65.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.87944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes70c62$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6228246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No58c52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297839.7%31 W · 47 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2bc6…3629backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eca…4055backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+63.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2173…d713backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.