Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bef6c92ff58254a704b3b7b6c0c2090aabc0b2fd112b3c6ab646d59841148b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 30c | 6,595$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.8 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 70c | 2,181$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.24 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 30c | 1,055$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 70c | 928.04$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.41 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 28c | 815$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.2 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 72c | 770$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.79 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 69c | 700$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 3c | 689.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 76c | 515.16$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 69c | 377.25$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 41c | 300$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 69c | 294$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 278$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 72c | 254$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…6241backed Yes | 30c | 161.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 143.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 46c | 108.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 30c | 100.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed No | 70c | 95.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…ea62backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +73%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…303ebacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…9834backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…f279backed Yes | 51c | 34.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 63c | 18.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-20?Yes won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-09-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.