Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30466cfb32f3a8fc811e04c0aa6d7480501db55a0d9ea772f0d48ddfb8ea92b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 69c | 4,796$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.68 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 3,245$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.95 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 14c | 2,175$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.95 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 68c | 1,960$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.2 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 1,550$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 31c | 1,341$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,259$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 30c | 936.53$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.96 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 69c | 871.94$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 69c | 763.96$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.83 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 69c | 751.05$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.46 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e3…16e9backed Yes | 3c | 700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa326…4556backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked No | 70c | 608.44$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.53 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 33c | 453.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.73 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 69c | 376.84$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 343.22$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 26c | 339.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 30c | 292$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes | 30c | 280$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 280$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…582dbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 31c | 164.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…02c3backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…9362backed No | 70c | 141.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed No | 71c | 119.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…2349backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 69c | 95.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7f…9fecbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 70c | 92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 33c | 90.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 32c | 82.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…9b21backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 68.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…2998backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…9520backed No | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 29c | 54.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 68c | 52.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…e9c8backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…6241backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 30c | 47.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…c574backed Yes | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 68c | 34.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996f…3748backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6a…d893backed No | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 71c | 17.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-20?Yes won
- Will West Ham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.