Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d53f86232fd5b9fafe921335a3282b1eed3349393bd90cfad3337331423cc5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 20,862$9,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,594.62 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 54c | 14,129$7,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,496.47 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 45c | 8,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.97 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 46c | 5,286$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.9 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Yes | 55c | 4,412$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.35 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 56c | 3,333$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.73 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 45c | 3,067$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 2,106$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.66 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Yes | 54c | 1,954$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 46c | 1,450$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.4 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 46c | 1,444$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.19 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 54c | 1,425$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 46c | 1,399$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.69 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked No | 29c | 1,389$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 46c | 1,282$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 72c | 1,087$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.69 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 31c | 1,043$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.28 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 45c | 999.95$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 46c | 999.93$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 71c | 930.03$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.85 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 54c | 805.46$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.98 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 55c | 730.91$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.91 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 54c | 629.63$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 53c | 581.85$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.47 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 54c | 500.3$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.14 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb753…f859backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 54c | 495.43$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 55c | 477.35$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.81 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 54c | 439.94$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.37 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed No | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 54c | 412.96$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 46c | 268.04$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Yes | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 46c | 248$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…097bbacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 26c | 189.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…cd67backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 55c | 152.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce7…7a65backed Yes | 55c | 136.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 53c | 134.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…086abacked No | 47c | 129.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 54c | 127.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…0554backed Yes | 77c | 105.9$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…52e2backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3643…9fb9backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…6ac6backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…ed05backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 23c | 99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 45c | 94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 53c | 93.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 55c | 91.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…eab2backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +54%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…a616backed Yes | 55c | 81.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 54c | 74.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd45b…933ebacked Yes | 55c | 73.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 54c | 68.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 72c | 68.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7f…9fecbacked Yes | 55c | 65.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb28e…adc0backed Yes | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…de76backed Yes | 78c | 62.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-25?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Bologna end in a draw?No won
- Will Bologna win on 2025-09-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.